Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Atlético Madrid are at home to Deportivo La Coruña on 24 October 2026 · 20:00 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid), with José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain as the referee. Our favourites are Atlético Madrid (74%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Atlético Madrid are 2nd with 28 points after 11 matches (9W 1D 1L), whereas Deportivo La Coruña are 8th with 14 points (3W 5D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Atlético Madrid have scored 2.1 and conceded 0.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Deportivo La Coruña average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Atlético Madrid: 7W 1D 1L, goals 19–8; Deportivo La Coruña: 2W 5D 2L, goals 13–12.
- Head to head. In their 14 meetings so far, Atlético Madrid have 11 wins, Deportivo La Coruña have 0 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 23–3.
What to expect
Atlético Madrid should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.65), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 14; Atlético Madrid 11 wins, 3 draws, Deportivo La Coruña 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Atlético Madrid 19–8, Deportivo La Coruña 13–12.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Atlético Madrid 3, Deportivo La Coruña 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Atlético Madrid are missing: J. Cardoso, Koke, C. Romero. Deportivo La Coruña are without: P. Aubameyang, N. Carrillo, M. Casado, Z. Eddahchouri, B. Ede. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.34 | 6.20 | 11.50 |
| Market average | 1.29 | 5.84 | 10.19 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.55 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.44 | 38.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.44 | 2.34 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.12 | 1.98 | 47.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.77 | 52.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Atlético Madrid 2–0 Deportivo La Coruña, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Atlético Madrid 2nd (28 points), Deportivo La Coruña 8th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Atlético Madrid 7W 1D 1L (19:8), Deportivo La Coruña 2W 5D 2L (13:12).
- H2H: 14 matches: Atlético Madrid 11W 3D 0L, goals 23–3.
- Absences: Atlético Madrid 3, Deportivo La Coruña 5.
Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: who is missing
Atlético Madrid
- J. Cardosothigh injury · will miss the match
- Kokemuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. Romeromuscle injury · will miss the match
Deportivo La Coruña
- P. Aubameyangknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Carrillomuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Casadoabsence · will miss the match
- Z. Eddahchouriabsence · will miss the match
- B. Edehamstring injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Atlético Madrid
Home and away
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Atlético MadridWWWWWDeportivo La CoruñaWLDLDAtlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: head to head
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Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
Our result tip is Atlético Madrid to win (odds 1.34), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.65). The safer pick is Atlético Madrid or draw (1X).
Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña?
Our probabilities: Atlético Madrid to win 74%, a draw 16%, Deportivo La Coruña to win 9%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid. Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Atlético Madrid: J. Cardoso, Koke, C. Romero. Deportivo La Coruña: P. Aubameyang, N. Carrillo, M. Casado, Z. Eddahchouri, B. Ede. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 47% probability (odds 2.12).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (12.3%); after that come 1–0 (10.3%) and 3–0 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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