Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Shrewsbury v Gillingham is on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at New Meadow (Shrewsbury); N. Hair takes charge. We think Shrewsbury (48%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Shrewsbury are 15th with 18 points after 14 matches (5W 3D 6L), whereas Gillingham are 8th with 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Shrewsbury have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Gillingham average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Shrewsbury: 5W 3D 5L, goals 16–20; Gillingham: 4W 5D 4L, goals 18–18.
- Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, Shrewsbury have 7 wins, Gillingham have 4 wins and 10 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 29–24.
What to expect
Shrewsbury should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 21; Shrewsbury 7 wins, 10 draws, Gillingham 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Shrewsbury 16–20, Gillingham 18–18.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: Shrewsbury 0, Gillingham 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Shrewsbury are missing: no absences. Gillingham are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.02 | 3.45 | 4.20 |
| Market average | 1.94 | 3.30 | 3.84 |
| Lowest odds | 1.90 | 2.93 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.32 | 70.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.09 | 2.04 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.74 | 54.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.62 | 25.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.83 | 50.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.87 | 49.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:41. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Shrewsbury 1–1 Gillingham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Shrewsbury 15th (18 points), Gillingham 8th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Shrewsbury 5W 3D 5L (16:20), Gillingham 4W 5D 4L (18:18).
- H2H: 21 matches: Shrewsbury 7W 10D 4L, goals 29–24.
- Absences: Shrewsbury 0, Gillingham 0.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: who is missing
Shrewsbury
- No reported absences
Gillingham
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Shrewsbury
Home and away
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ShrewsburyLDWWLGillinghamWLDLWShrewsbury vs Gillingham: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
Our result tip is Shrewsbury to win (odds 2.02), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76). The safer pick is Shrewsbury or draw (1X).
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
Our probabilities: Shrewsbury to win 48%, a draw 28%, Gillingham to win 24%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at New Meadow, Shrewsbury. Referee: N. Hair.
Who will be missing?
Shrewsbury: no absences. Gillingham: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.09); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.87).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.3%); after that come 1–0 (12.3%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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