Bet with MINO CASINO →Getafe v Brighton is on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Coliseum (Getafe). We think Brighton (59%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Getafe vs Brighton: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Getafe are 30th with 1 point after 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), whereas Brighton are 9th with 4 points (1W 1D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Getafe have scored 1.8 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Brighton average 2.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Getafe: 1W 1D 2L, goals 7–9; Brighton: 2W 2D 0L, goals 8–0.
What to expect
Brighton should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.87), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Getafe 7–9, Brighton 8–0.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Getafe 0, Brighton 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Getafe are missing: no absences. Brighton are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Getafe vs Brighton: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.25 | 4.10 | 1.65 |
| Market average | 5.69 | 3.88 | 1.57 |
| Lowest odds | 5.13 | 3.60 | 1.48 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.92 | 49.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 50.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.26 | 28.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.81 | 51.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Getafe 0–1 Brighton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Getafe 30th (1 point), Brighton 9th (4 points).
- Form in the competition: Getafe 1W 1D 2L (7:9), Brighton 2W 2D 0L (8:0).
- Absences: Getafe 0, Brighton 0.
Who will win Getafe vs Brighton?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Getafe vs Brighton: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Getafe vs Brighton: who is missing
Getafe
- No reported absences
Brighton
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Getafe vs Brighton: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Getafe
Home and away
Getafe vs Brighton: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
GetafeLDBrightonDWReturns calculator
Getafe vs Brighton: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Getafe vs Brighton?
Our result tip is Brighton to win (odds 1.65), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.87). The safer pick is Draw or Brighton (X2).
Who will win Getafe vs Brighton?
Our probabilities: Getafe to win 16%, a draw 24%, Brighton to win 59%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Coliseum, Getafe.
Who will be missing?
Getafe: no absences. Brighton: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 1.95); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.93).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (12.7%); after that come 0–2 (11.4%) and 1–1 (10.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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