Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Liverpool meet Brighton on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Anfield (Liverpool), refereed by Samuel Barrott. Liverpool (46%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Liverpool vs Brighton: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.15 | 4.04 | 3.40 |
| Market average | 2.09 | 3.86 | 3.26 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.45 | 38.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.54 | 36.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 13:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Brighton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Liverpool 5th (15 points), Brighton 3rd (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Liverpool 3W 3D 1L (9:8), Brighton 5W 1D 1L (23:5).
- H2H: 24 matches: Liverpool 15W 4D 5L, goals 52–28.
- Absences: Liverpool 7, Brighton 8.
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Liverpool vs Brighton: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Liverpool vs Brighton: who is missing
Liverpool
- C. Bradleyknee injury · will miss the match
- H. EkitikeAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- J. Frimpongmuscle injury · will miss the match
- G. Leoniknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Nalloabsence · will miss the match
- D. Szoboszlaimuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Munozknee injury · doubtful
Brighton
- F. Azeezabsence · will miss the match
- E. Fergusonankle injury · will miss the match
- Y. Mintehinjury · will miss the match
- K. Mitomahamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Tzimasknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Wiefferknee injury · will miss the match
- Z. Yohannainjury · will miss the match
- P. Struijkabsence · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Brighton: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Liverpool
Home and away
Liverpool vs Brighton: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Liverpool are 5th with 15 points after 9 matches (4W 3D 2L), whereas Brighton are 3rd with 19 points (6W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Liverpool have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Brighton average 3.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Liverpool: 3W 3D 1L, goals 9–8; Brighton: 5W 1D 1L, goals 23–5.
- Head to head. In their 24 meetings so far, Liverpool have 15 wins, Brighton have 5 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 52–28.
What to expect
Liverpool should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Brighton are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 24; Liverpool 15 wins, 4 draws, Brighton 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Liverpool 9–8, Brighton 23–5.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Liverpool 7, Brighton 8.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Liverpool are missing: C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo, D. Szoboszlai, V. Munoz. Brighton are without: F. Azeez, E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, K. Mitoma, S. Tzimas, M. Wieffer, Z. Yohanna, P. Struijk. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Brighton: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
LiverpoolLWWLWBrightonWLWWWLiverpool vs Brighton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Liverpool vs Brighton: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Liverpool vs Brighton?
Our result tip is Liverpool to win (odds 2.15), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Liverpool or draw (1X).
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
Our probabilities: Liverpool to win 46%, a draw 25%, Brighton to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Anfield, Liverpool. Referee: Samuel Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Liverpool: C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo, D. Szoboszlai, V. Munoz. Brighton: F. Azeez, E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, K. Mitoma, S. Tzimas, M. Wieffer, Z. Yohanna, P. Struijk. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.5%); after that come 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–0 (7.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.