Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FK Jablonec are at home to Brighton on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion Střelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou), with S. Kringstad as the referee. Our favourites are Brighton (78%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
FK Jablonec vs Brighton: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FK Jablonec are 24th with 1 point after 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), whereas Brighton are 9th with 4 points (1W 1D 0L).
What to expect
Brighton should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–3, about 4 goals combined, and 0–2 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.24, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.83), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Absent: FK Jablonec 0, Brighton 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 53%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FK Jablonec are missing: no absences. Brighton are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FK Jablonec vs Brighton: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 13.50 | 7.80 | 1.24 |
| Market average | 12.12 | 6.84 | 1.20 |
| Lowest odds | 7.34 | 5.03 | 1.17 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.82 | 33.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.01 | 46.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.10 | 1.99 | 46.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.74 | 53.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 16:28. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FK Jablonec 0–2 Brighton, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FK Jablonec 24th (1 point), Brighton 9th (4 points).
- Absences: FK Jablonec 0, Brighton 0.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Brighton?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FK Jablonec vs Brighton: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
FK Jablonec vs Brighton: who is missing
FK Jablonec
- No reported absences
Brighton
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FK Jablonec vs Brighton: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
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FK Jablonec vs Brighton: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FK Jablonec vs Brighton?
Brighton -1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.98); Under 3.5 goals (1.83).
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Brighton?
Our probabilities: FK Jablonec to win 8%, a draw 14%, Brighton to win 78%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou. Referee: S. Kringstad.
Who will be missing?
FK Jablonec: no absences. Brighton: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.44); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 47% probability (odds 2.10).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–2 (11.6%); after that come 0–3 (10.4%) and 1–2 (8.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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