Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Porto meet Estoril on 31 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio do Dragão (Porto), refereed by Miguel Bertolo Nogueira. FC Porto (80%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
FC Porto vs Estoril: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FC Porto are 1st with 30 points after 10 matches (10W 0D 0L), whereas Estoril are 18th with 2 points (0W 2D 8L).
- Attack and defence. FC Porto have scored 2.3 and conceded 0.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Estoril average 0.6 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Porto: 9W 0D 0L, goals 21–4; Estoril: 0W 2D 7L, goals 5–15.
- Head to head. In their 25 meetings so far, FC Porto have 18 wins, Estoril have 4 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 56–21.
What to expect
FC Porto should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 2–0 (13.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.21, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 25; FC Porto 18 wins, 3 draws, Estoril 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: FC Porto 21–4, Estoril 5–15.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: FC Porto 0, Estoril 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 59%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FC Porto are missing: no absences. Estoril are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FC Porto vs Estoril: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.21 | 8.05 | 18.00 |
| Market average | 1.17 | 7.11 | 15.03 |
| Lowest odds | 1.14 | 5.32 | 9.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.51 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.73 | 2.50 | 37.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.23 | 42.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.50 | 2.31 | 40.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.65 | 1.57 | 59.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 14:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Porto 2–0 Estoril, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Porto 1st (30 points), Estoril 18th (2 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Porto 9W 0D 0L (21:4), Estoril 0W 2D 7L (5:15).
- H2H: 25 matches: FC Porto 18W 3D 4L, goals 56–21.
- Absences: FC Porto 0, Estoril 0.
Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FC Porto vs Estoril: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Porto vs Estoril: who is missing
FC Porto
- No reported absences
Estoril
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FC Porto vs Estoril: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
FC Porto
Home and away
FC Porto vs Estoril: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FC PortoWWWWWEstorilLLLLLFC Porto vs Estoril: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FC Porto vs Estoril: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FC Porto vs Estoril?
FC Porto -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Over 2.5 goals (1.67).
Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?
Our probabilities: FC Porto to win 80%, a draw 13%, Estoril to win 6%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 20:30, at Estádio do Dragão, Porto. Referee: Miguel Bertolo Nogueira.
Who will be missing?
FC Porto: no absences. Estoril: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.73).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 41% probability (odds 2.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (13.8%); after that come 3–0 (11.9%) and 1–0 (10.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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