Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
GIL Vicente v FC Porto is on 24 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos); L. M. Branco Godinho takes charge. We think FC Porto (65%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, GIL Vicente are 7th with 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), whereas FC Porto are 1st with 30 points (10W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. GIL Vicente have scored 1.0 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; FC Porto average 2.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. GIL Vicente: 4W 2D 2L, goals 8–6; FC Porto: 8W 0D 0L, goals 20–4.
- Head to head. In their 26 meetings so far, GIL Vicente have 5 wins, FC Porto have 18 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 19–49.
What to expect
FC Porto should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (13.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 26; GIL Vicente 5 wins, 3 draws, FC Porto 18 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: GIL Vicente 8–6, FC Porto 20–4.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: GIL Vicente 0, FC Porto 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 54%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
GIL Vicente are missing: no absences. FC Porto are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 7.50 | 4.67 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 7.11 | 4.41 | 1.45 |
| Lowest odds | 6.50 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.91 | 49.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.34 | 3.21 | 29.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.06 | 2.04 | 45.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 18:02. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: GIL Vicente 7th (15 points), FC Porto 1st (30 points).
- Form in the competition: GIL Vicente 4W 2D 2L (8:6), FC Porto 8W 0D 0L (20:4).
- H2H: 26 matches: GIL Vicente 5W 3D 18L, goals 19–49.
- Absences: GIL Vicente 0, FC Porto 0.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: who is missing
GIL Vicente
- No reported absences
FC Porto
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
GIL Vicente
Home and away
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
GIL VicenteDLWWDFC PortoWWWWWGIL Vicente vs FC Porto: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: questions and answers
What is the best tip for GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
Our result tip is FC Porto to win (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.73). The safer pick is Draw or FC Porto (X2).
Who will win GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
Our probabilities: GIL Vicente to win 13%, a draw 21%, FC Porto to win 65%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 20:30, at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos. Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho.
Who will be missing?
GIL Vicente: no absences. FC Porto: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.94); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 46% probability (odds 2.06).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (13.1%); after that come 0–2 (12.8%) and 1–1 (9.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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