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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11 · 20 November 2026 · 19:45

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: tip, odds and prediction – 20 November 2026, Ligue 1

1Estac Troyes2.21
XDraw3.82
2Le Havre3.32

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:21

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Estac Troyes are at home to Le Havre on 20 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Estac Troyes or draw (1X)
1.38
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
71%chance of the result
66%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.213.823.32
Market average2.163.583.24
Lowest odds2.103.403.10
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2277.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7554.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.182.1345.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.862.7933.9%
BTTS – yes1.651.6058.2%
BTTS – no2.302.2341.8%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Havre, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Estac Troyes 16th (8 points), Le Havre 18th (2 points).
  • Absences: Estac Troyes 0, Le Havre 0.

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?

Estac Troyes44%
Draw27%
Le Havre29%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals77.4% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.25
Likely
Estac Troyes or draw (1X)70.7% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.38
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.1% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.47
Likely
Both sides to score: yes58.2% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.9% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.1% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.18
Outsider
Estac Troyes to win44.1% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.21
Outsider
Both sides to score: no41.8% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.9% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.86
Outsider
Le Havre to win29.3% · fair odds 3.41 · best 3.32
Outsider
Draw26.6% · fair odds 3.76 · best 3.82
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.6%
2 : 19.3%
1 : 09.3%
2 : 07.4%
1 : 27.2%
0 : 17.2%

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: who is missing

Estac Troyes

  • No reported absences

Le Havre

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
11Lorient93-3-37:812
12Toulouse92-4-312:1310
13Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Estac Troyes

31 OctWEstac Troyes 2–0 Le Mans
25 OctDToulouse 0–0 Estac Troyes
17 OctLEstac Troyes 1–3 Lens
11 OctLEstac Troyes 0–2 Marseille
19 SeptLAngers 2–0 Estac Troyes

Le Havre

30 OctLLe Havre 1–5 Paris Saint Germain
25 OctLMarseille 4–3 Le Havre
18 OctLLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
10 OctLLille 1–0 Le Havre
19 SeptLToulouse 3–2 Le Havre

Home and away

Estac Troyes at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–11
Le Havre away4 matches: 0W 1D 3L, goals 6–9

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Estac Troyes are 16th with 8 points after 9 matches (2W 2D 5L), whereas Le Havre are 18th with 2 points (0W 2D 7L).

What to expect

Estac Troyes should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
  2. Absent: Estac Troyes 0, Le Havre 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Estac Troyes are missing: no absences. Le Havre are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?

Our result tip is Estac Troyes or draw (1X) (odds 1.38), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Estac Troyes or draw (1X).

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?

Our probabilities: Estac Troyes to win 44%, a draw 27%, Le Havre to win 29%.

What time and where is kick-off?

20 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes.

Who will be missing?

Estac Troyes: no absences. Le Havre: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.79); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.18).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.65).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.6%); after that come 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (9.3%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Toulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.