Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Exeter City meet Crewe on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at St James Park (Exeter), refereed by H. Wager. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Exeter City vs Crewe: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Exeter City are 12th with 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L), whereas Crewe are 4th with 22 points (5W 7D 2L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (13.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Absent: Exeter City 0, Crewe 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Exeter City are missing: no absences. Crewe are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Exeter City vs Crewe: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.55 | 3.40 | 3.02 |
| Market average | 2.45 | 3.15 | 2.86 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.61 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.33 | 69.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.19 | 2.09 | 45.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 55.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.67 | 25.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.80 | 51.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.92 | 48.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Exeter City 1–1 Crewe, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Exeter City 12th (19 points), Crewe 4th (22 points).
- Absences: Exeter City 0, Crewe 0.
Who will win Exeter City vs Crewe?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Exeter City vs Crewe: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Exeter City vs Crewe: who is missing
Exeter City
- No reported absences
Crewe
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Exeter City vs Crewe: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Exeter City vs Crewe: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Exeter City vs Crewe?
Our result tip is Exeter City or draw (1X) (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Exeter City or draw (1X).
Who will win Exeter City vs Crewe?
Our probabilities: Exeter City to win 38%, a draw 30%, Crewe to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at St James Park, Exeter. Referee: H. Wager.
Who will be missing?
Exeter City: no absences. Crewe: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 45% (odds 2.19); under 2.5 goals is at 55% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (13.0%); after that come 1–0 (11.3%) and 0–1 (10.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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