Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Chesterfield v Crewe is on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield); W. Davis takes charge. We think Chesterfield (54%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L), whereas Crewe are 4th with 22 points (5W 7D 2L).
- Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, Chesterfield have 7 wins, Crewe have 4 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 26–23.
What to expect
Chesterfield should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 13; Chesterfield 7 wins, 2 draws, Crewe 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.8 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: Chesterfield 0, Crewe 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Chesterfield are missing: no absences. Crewe are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.83 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Market average | 1.74 | 3.79 | 4.33 |
| Lowest odds | 1.68 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.16 | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.57 | 36.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.17 | 42.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:59. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Chesterfield 1–1 Crewe, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chesterfield 10th (19 points), Crewe 4th (22 points).
- H2H: 13 matches: Chesterfield 7W 2D 4L, goals 26–23.
- Absences: Chesterfield 0, Crewe 0.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Crewe?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Chesterfield vs Crewe: who is missing
Chesterfield
- No reported absences
Crewe
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Chesterfield vs Crewe: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Chesterfield vs Crewe?
Our result tip is Chesterfield to win (odds 1.83), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Chesterfield or draw (1X).
Who will win Chesterfield vs Crewe?
Our probabilities: Chesterfield to win 54%, a draw 25%, Crewe to win 22%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield. Referee: W. Davis.
Who will be missing?
Chesterfield: no absences. Crewe: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.24).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.7%); after that come 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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