Bet with MINO CASINO →Colchester meet Gillingham on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at JobServe Community Stadium (Colchester). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Colchester vs Gillingham: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Colchester are 23rd with 12 points after 13 matches (2W 6D 5L), whereas Gillingham are 8th with 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Colchester have scored 0.9 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Gillingham average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Colchester: 2W 6D 5L, goals 12–19; Gillingham: 5W 5D 4L, goals 20–19.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Gillingham are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Colchester 12–19, Gillingham 20–19.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Colchester 0, Gillingham 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Colchester are missing: no absences. Gillingham are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Colchester vs Gillingham: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| Market average | 2.15 | 3.26 | 3.23 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.94 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.83 | 51.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.21 | 28.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.73 | 53.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 2.00 | 46.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Colchester 1–1 Gillingham, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Colchester 23rd (12 points), Gillingham 8th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Colchester 2W 6D 5L (12:19), Gillingham 5W 5D 4L (20:19).
- Absences: Colchester 0, Gillingham 0.
Who will win Colchester vs Gillingham?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Colchester vs Gillingham: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Colchester vs Gillingham: who is missing
Colchester
- No reported absences
Gillingham
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Colchester vs Gillingham: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Colchester
Home and away
Colchester vs Gillingham: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ColchesterLLDDLGillinghamWLDLWReturns calculator
Colchester vs Gillingham: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Colchester vs Gillingham?
Our result tip is Colchester or draw (1X) (odds 1.36), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Colchester or draw (1X).
Who will win Colchester vs Gillingham?
Our probabilities: Colchester to win 43%, a draw 28%, Gillingham to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
14 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester.
Who will be missing?
Colchester: no absences. Gillingham: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 1.95); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.4%); after that come 1–0 (10.8%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.