Bet with MINO CASINO →Blackburn meet Stoke City on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Ewood Park (Blackburn), refereed by Andrew Kitchen. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.73 |
| Market average | 2.65 | 3.24 | 2.63 |
| Lowest odds | 2.52 | 3.04 | 2.48 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.32 | 71.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.04 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.76 | 53.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.65 | 3.49 | 26.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.95 | 47.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Blackburn 1–1 Stoke City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Blackburn 13th (18 points), Stoke City 7th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Blackburn 5W 3D 5L (19:20), Stoke City 7W 2D 4L (20:16).
- H2H: 21 matches: Blackburn 6W 4D 11L, goals 23–26.
- Absences: Blackburn 4, Stoke City 6.
Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Blackburn vs Stoke City: who is missing
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · will miss the match
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- L. Cissenot in the squad · will miss the match
- E. Galbraithabsence · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · doubtful
- S. Gallagherinjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Blackburn
Home and away
Blackburn vs Stoke City: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Blackburn are 13th with 18 points after 13 matches (5W 3D 5L), whereas Stoke City are 7th with 23 points (7W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Blackburn have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Stoke City average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Blackburn: 5W 3D 5L, goals 19–20; Stoke City: 7W 2D 4L, goals 20–16.
- Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, Blackburn have 6 wins, Stoke City have 11 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 23–26.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.83), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 21; Blackburn 6 wins, 4 draws, Stoke City 11 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Blackburn 19–20, Stoke City 20–16.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: Blackburn 4, Stoke City 6.
Alternative tip: Draw or Stoke City (X2)
Alternative pick: Draw or Stoke City (X2) (probability 65%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Blackburn are missing: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, R. Morishita. Stoke City are without: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, L. Cisse, E. Galbraith, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Blackburn vs Stoke City: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
BlackburnLWLWWStoke CityWDWLWBlackburn vs Stoke City: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Blackburn vs Stoke City: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Our result tip is Draw or Stoke City (X2) (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.83). The safer pick is Draw or Stoke City (X2).
Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Our probabilities: Blackburn to win 35%, a draw 29%, Stoke City to win 36%.
What time and where is kick-off?
3 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Ewood Park, Blackburn. Referee: Andrew Kitchen.
Who will be missing?
Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, R. Morishita. Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, L. Cisse, E. Galbraith, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.12); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.83).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.8%); after that come 0–1 (10.3%) and 1–0 (10.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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