Preston v Sheffield Utd is on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Deepdale Stadium (Preston); John Busby takes charge. We think Sheffield Utd (48%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Preston vs Sheffield Utd: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Preston are 24th with 5 points after 13 matches (1W 2D 10L), whereas Sheffield Utd are 10th with 19 points (5W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Preston have scored 0.8 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Sheffield Utd average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Preston: 1W 2D 10L, goals 10–27; Sheffield Utd: 5W 4D 4L, goals 17–15.
- Head to head. In their 24 meetings so far, Preston have 6 wins, Sheffield Utd have 11 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 27–36.
What to expect
Sheffield Utd should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 24; Preston 6 wins, 7 draws, Sheffield Utd 11 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Preston 10–27, Sheffield Utd 17–15.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Preston 4, Sheffield Utd 8.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Preston are missing: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs, L. Gibson, A. McCann. Sheffield Utd are without: M. Doherty, L. Kitching, R. One, J. Shackleton, P. Bamford, A. Davies, K. Phillips, J. Rothwell. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Preston vs Sheffield Utd: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.80 | 3.77 | 2.02 |
| Market average | 3.60 | 3.55 | 1.96 |
| Lowest odds | 3.26 | 3.21 | 1.93 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 2.00 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.95 | 31.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.10 | 44.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Preston 1–1 Sheffield Utd, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Preston 24th (5 points), Sheffield Utd 10th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Preston 1W 2D 10L (10:27), Sheffield Utd 5W 4D 4L (17:15).
- H2H: 24 matches: Preston 6W 7D 11L, goals 27–36.
- Absences: Preston 4, Sheffield Utd 8.
Who will win Preston vs Sheffield Utd?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Preston vs Sheffield Utd: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Preston vs Sheffield Utd: who is missing
Preston
- H. Clarkeknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Gibbsmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Gibsonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. McCannhamstring injury · will miss the match
Sheffield Utd
- M. Dohertyinjury · will miss the match
- L. Kitchingabsence · will miss the match
- R. Onenot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Shackletonabsence · will miss the match
- P. Bamfordnot in the squad · doubtful
- A. Daviesnot in the squad · doubtful
- K. Phillipsnot in the squad · doubtful
- J. Rothwellnot in the squad · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Preston vs Sheffield Utd: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 | |
| 7 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 19 | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 | |
| 22 | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 | |
| 23 | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Preston
Home and away
Preston vs Sheffield Utd: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Preston vs Sheffield Utd: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Preston vs Sheffield Utd: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Preston vs Sheffield Utd?
Preston +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Preston vs Sheffield Utd?
Our probabilities: Preston to win 26%, a draw 26%, Sheffield Utd to win 48%.
What time and where is kick-off?
3 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Deepdale Stadium, Preston. Referee: John Busby.
Who will be missing?
Preston: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs, L. Gibson, A. McCann. Sheffield Utd: M. Doherty, L. Kitching, R. One, J. Shackleton, P. Bamford, A. Davies, K. Phillips, J. Rothwell. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.83); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.8%); after that come 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–2 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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