Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stoke City v Bristol City is on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at bet365 Stadium (Stoke-On-Trent); James Bell, England takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.47 | 3.35 | 3.24 |
| Market average | 2.37 | 3.24 | 3.03 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.34 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.06 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.74 | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.62 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.79 | 51.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.93 | 48.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:58. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Stoke City 1–1 Bristol City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stoke City 7th (23 points), Bristol City 14th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Stoke City 6W 1D 4L (18:16), Bristol City 4W 2D 5L (12:15).
- H2H: 18 matches: Stoke City 6W 3D 9L, goals 22–23.
- Absences: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.
Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Stoke City vs Bristol City: who is missing
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Gallagherinjury · will miss the match
- S. Ingelssonmuscle injury · will miss the match
Bristol City
- R. Dickieknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Eileillness · will miss the match
- E. Adebayonot in the squad · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Stoke City
Home and away
Stoke City vs Bristol City: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Stoke City are 7th with 23 points after 13 matches (7W 2D 4L), whereas Bristol City are 14th with 18 points (5W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Stoke City have scored 1.6 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Bristol City average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Stoke City: 6W 1D 4L, goals 18–16; Bristol City: 4W 2D 5L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Stoke City have 6 wins, Bristol City have 9 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–23.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; Stoke City 6 wins, 3 draws, Bristol City 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Stoke City 18–16, Bristol City 12–15.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Stoke City are missing: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Bristol City are without: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Stoke CityWDWLWBristol CityWDLLDStoke City vs Bristol City: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Stoke City vs Bristol City: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Our result tip is Stoke City or draw (1X) (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78). The safer pick is Stoke City or draw (1X).
Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Our probabilities: Stoke City to win 40%, a draw 29%, Bristol City to win 31%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: James Bell, England.
Who will be missing?
Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Bristol City: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.16); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.78).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.7%); after that come 1–0 (11.1%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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