Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stoke City v Preston is on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at bet365 Stadium (Stoke-On-Trent); Adam Herczeg takes charge. We think Stoke City (53%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Stoke City vs Preston: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Stoke City are 7th with 23 points after 13 matches (7W 2D 4L), whereas Preston are 24th with 5 points (1W 2D 10L).
- Attack and defence. Stoke City have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Preston average 0.8 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Stoke City: 6W 2D 4L, goals 18–16; Preston: 1W 2D 9L, goals 10–25.
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Stoke City have 4 wins, Preston have 7 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–20.
What to expect
Stoke City should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; Stoke City 4 wins, 6 draws, Preston 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Stoke City 18–16, Preston 10–25.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: Stoke City 5, Preston 6.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Stoke City are missing: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Preston are without: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs, L. Gibson, A. McCann, T. Carroll, L. Lindsay. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Stoke City vs Preston: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.83 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Market average | 1.77 | 3.71 | 4.34 |
| Lowest odds | 1.68 | 3.26 | 4.07 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.86 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.93 | 49.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.28 | 3.10 | 30.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 09:42. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Stoke City 1–1 Preston, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Stoke City 7th (23 points), Preston 24th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Stoke City 6W 2D 4L (18:16), Preston 1W 2D 9L (10:25).
- H2H: 17 matches: Stoke City 4W 6D 7L, goals 14–20.
- Absences: Stoke City 5, Preston 6.
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Stoke City vs Preston: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Stoke City vs Preston: who is missing
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Gallagherinjury · will miss the match
- S. Ingelssonmuscle injury · will miss the match
Preston
- H. Clarkeknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Gibbsmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Gibsonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. McCannhamstring injury · will miss the match
- T. Carrollankle injury · doubtful
- L. Lindsayinjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Stoke City vs Preston: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Stoke City
Home and away
Stoke City vs Preston: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Stoke CityWDWLWPrestonLDLLLStoke City vs Preston: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Stoke City vs Preston: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Stoke City vs Preston?
Our result tip is Stoke City to win (odds 1.83), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Stoke City or draw (1X).
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston?
Our probabilities: Stoke City to win 53%, a draw 25%, Preston to win 22%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: Adam Herczeg.
Who will be missing?
Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Preston: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs, L. Gibson, A. McCann, T. Carroll, L. Lindsay. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.91); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 1–0 (11.4%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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