Bet with MINO CASINO →Charlton meet Bolton on 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at The Valley (London), refereed by Steve Martin. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Charlton vs Bolton: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.34 | 3.58 | 3.11 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.43 | 2.99 |
| Lowest odds | 2.18 | 3.09 | 2.67 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.76 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.04 | 46.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.91 | 2.82 | 33.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.61 | 1.59 | 58.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.24 | 41.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Charlton 1–1 Bolton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Charlton 20th (14 points), Bolton 19th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Charlton 3W 5D 5L (11:21), Bolton 4W 2D 7L (18:26).
- H2H: 18 matches: Charlton 5W 7D 6L, goals 23–28.
- Absences: Charlton 3, Bolton 4.
Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Charlton vs Bolton: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Charlton vs Bolton: who is missing
Charlton
- R. Apterknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Sichenjeknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Goddenmuscle injury · doubtful
Bolton
- E. Erhahonthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Hardiehamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. McAteeknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Nelsonnot in the squad · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Charlton vs Bolton: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Charlton
Home and away
Charlton vs Bolton: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Charlton are 20th with 14 points after 13 matches (3W 5D 5L), whereas Bolton are 19th with 14 points (4W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Charlton have scored 0.8 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Bolton average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Charlton: 3W 5D 5L, goals 11–21; Bolton: 4W 2D 7L, goals 18–26.
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Charlton have 5 wins, Bolton have 6 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 23–28.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 67%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; Charlton 5 wins, 7 draws, Bolton 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Charlton 11–21, Bolton 18–26.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Absent: Charlton 3, Bolton 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.61). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Charlton are missing: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, M. Godden. Bolton are without: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Charlton vs Bolton: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CharltonLLLDDBoltonLLDWLCharlton vs Bolton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Charlton vs Bolton: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Charlton vs Bolton?
Our result tip is Charlton or draw (1X) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45). The safer pick is Charlton or draw (1X).
Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?
Our probabilities: Charlton to win 41%, a draw 27%, Bolton to win 31%.
What time and where is kick-off?
3 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at The Valley, London. Referee: Steve Martin.
Who will be missing?
Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, M. Godden. Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.11).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.61).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 1–0 (9.1%) and 2–1 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.