Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
West Brom are at home to Blackburn on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at The Hawthorns (West Bromwich), with Adam Herczeg, England as the referee. Our favourites are West Brom (49%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
West Brom vs Blackburn: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, West Brom are 4th with 24 points after 13 matches (7W 3D 3L), whereas Blackburn are 13th with 18 points (5W 3D 5L).
What to expect
West Brom should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: West Brom 0, Blackburn 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 50%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
West Brom are missing: no absences. Blackburn are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
West Brom vs Blackburn: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.96 | 3.65 | 4.10 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 3.51 | 3.95 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.31 | 70.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.03 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.76 | 53.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.85 | 3.54 | 26.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.83 | 50.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.88 | 1.86 | 49.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: West Brom 1–1 Blackburn, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: West Brom 4th (24 points), Blackburn 13th (18 points).
- Absences: West Brom 0, Blackburn 0.
Who will win West Brom vs Blackburn?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
West Brom vs Blackburn: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
West Brom vs Blackburn: who is missing
West Brom
- No reported absences
Blackburn
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
West Brom vs Blackburn: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
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West Brom vs Blackburn: questions and answers
What is the best tip for West Brom vs Blackburn?
Our result tip is West Brom to win (odds 1.96), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78). The safer pick is West Brom or draw (1X).
Who will win West Brom vs Blackburn?
Our probabilities: West Brom to win 49%, a draw 27%, Blackburn to win 24%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at The Hawthorns, West Bromwich. Referee: Adam Herczeg, England.
Who will be missing?
West Brom: no absences. Blackburn: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.13); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.78).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.85).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.1%); after that come 1–0 (12.1%) and 2–1 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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