Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Blackburn meet Wrexham on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Ewood Park (Blackburn), refereed by Matthew Corlett, England. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Blackburn are 13th with 18 points after 13 matches (5W 3D 5L), whereas Wrexham are 18th with 14 points (3W 5D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Blackburn have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Wrexham average 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Blackburn: 4W 3D 4L, goals 17–16; Wrexham: 3W 5D 3L, goals 15–16.
- Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Blackburn have 2 wins, Wrexham have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 7–4.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Blackburn are stronger, but the betting market gives the away side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.79), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 4; Blackburn 2 wins, 1 draw, Wrexham 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Blackburn 17–16, Wrexham 15–16.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: Blackburn 7, Wrexham 7.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Blackburn are missing: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, Y. Ohashi, Y. Ribeiro, R. Morishita, S. Wharton. Wrexham are without: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, M. Cleworth, S. Revan, J. Windass, B. Sheaf, G. Thomason. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.47 |
| Market average | 3.02 | 3.26 | 2.37 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.33 | 70.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.07 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.73 | 54.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.67 | 25.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:58. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Blackburn 1–1 Wrexham, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Blackburn 13th (18 points), Wrexham 18th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Blackburn 4W 3D 4L (17:16), Wrexham 3W 5D 3L (15:16).
- H2H: 4 matches: Blackburn 2W 1D 1L, goals 7–4.
- Absences: Blackburn 7, Wrexham 7.
Who will win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Blackburn vs Wrexham: who is missing
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Y. Ohashihamstring injury · will miss the match
- Y. Ribeirohamstring injury · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · doubtful
- S. WhartonAchilles tendon injury · doubtful
Wrexham
- N. Broadheadthigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Cacacecalf injury · will miss the match
- M. Cleworthmuscle injury · will miss the match
- S. Revanhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Windassankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Sheafinjury · doubtful
- G. Thomasonthigh injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Blackburn
Home and away
Blackburn vs Wrexham: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
BlackburnLWLWWWrexhamLLWLDBlackburn vs Wrexham: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Blackburn vs Wrexham: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Blackburn +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 2.5 goals (1.79).
Who will win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Our probabilities: Blackburn to win 31%, a draw 29%, Wrexham to win 40%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Ewood Park, Blackburn. Referee: Matthew Corlett, England.
Who will be missing?
Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, Y. Ohashi, Y. Ribeiro, R. Morishita, S. Wharton. Wrexham: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, M. Cleworth, S. Revan, J. Windass, B. Sheaf, G. Thomason. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.18); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.79).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.85).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.9%); after that come 0–1 (11.2%) and 1–0 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.