Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Swansea are at home to Blackburn on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea), with Gavin Ward as the referee. Our favourites are Swansea (54%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Swansea vs Blackburn: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.81 | 3.90 | 4.85 |
| Market average | 1.74 | 3.71 | 4.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.16 | 3.74 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.25 | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.84 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.95 | 48.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.29 | 3.04 | 30.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:40. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Swansea 1–1 Blackburn, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Swansea 2nd (26 points), Blackburn 13th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Swansea 7W 2D 3L (16:13), Blackburn 5W 3D 4L (19:16).
- H2H: 20 matches: Swansea 10W 4D 6L, goals 34–24.
- Absences: Swansea 3, Blackburn 5.
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Swansea vs Blackburn: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Swansea vs Blackburn: who is missing
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Ronaldhamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. K. Yeoinjury · will miss the match
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- S. Morsyabsence · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Swansea vs Blackburn: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Swansea
Home and away
Swansea vs Blackburn: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Swansea are 2nd with 26 points after 13 matches (8W 2D 3L), whereas Blackburn are 13th with 18 points (5W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Swansea have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Blackburn average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Swansea: 7W 2D 3L, goals 16–13; Blackburn: 5W 3D 4L, goals 19–16.
- Head to head. In their 20 meetings so far, Swansea have 10 wins, Blackburn have 6 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 34–24.
What to expect
Swansea should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.78), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 20; Swansea 10 wins, 4 draws, Blackburn 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Swansea 16–13, Blackburn 19–16.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: Swansea 3, Blackburn 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.78). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Swansea are missing: C. Burgess, Ronald, M. K. Yeo. Blackburn are without: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, S. Morsy, R. Morishita. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Swansea vs Blackburn: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
SwanseaWLLWWBlackburnLWLWWSwansea vs Blackburn: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Swansea vs Blackburn: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Swansea vs Blackburn?
Our result tip is Swansea to win (odds 1.81), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.78). The safer pick is Swansea or draw (1X).
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
Our probabilities: Swansea to win 54%, a draw 25%, Blackburn to win 21%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea. Referee: Gavin Ward.
Who will be missing?
Swansea: C. Burgess, Ronald, M. K. Yeo. Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, S. Morsy, R. Morishita. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.91); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.78).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 1–0 (11.4%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.