Bet with MINO CASINO →Birmingham meet Swansea on 7 November 2026 · 15:00 at St Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham). Birmingham (47%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Birmingham vs Swansea: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.98 | 3.54 | 3.54 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.54 | 3.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.98 | 3.54 | 3.54 |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 12:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Birmingham 1–1 Swansea, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Birmingham 6th (23 points), Swansea 2nd (26 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: Birmingham 6W 8D 3L, goals 23–22.
- Absences: Birmingham 0, Swansea 0.
Who will win Birmingham vs Swansea?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Birmingham vs Swansea: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Birmingham vs Swansea: who is missing
Birmingham
- No reported absences
Swansea
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Birmingham vs Swansea: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Birmingham
Home and away
Birmingham vs Swansea: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Birmingham are 6th with 23 points after 13 matches (6W 5D 2L), whereas Swansea are 2nd with 26 points (8W 2D 3L).
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Birmingham have 6 wins, Swansea have 3 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 23–22.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; Birmingham 6 wins, 8 draws, Swansea 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Absent: Birmingham 0, Swansea 0.
Alternative tip: Draw
Alternative pick: Draw (probability 26%, best available odds 3.54). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Birmingham are missing: no absences. Swansea are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Birmingham vs Swansea: head to head
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Birmingham vs Swansea: questions and answers
Who will win Birmingham vs Swansea?
Our probabilities: Birmingham to win 47%, a draw 26%, Swansea to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at St Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham.
Who will be missing?
Birmingham: no absences. Swansea: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (12.5%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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