Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
QPR v Swansea is on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Loftus Road (London); Sam Allison, England takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
QPR vs Swansea: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, QPR are 9th with 20 points after 13 matches (5W 5D 3L), whereas Swansea are 2nd with 26 points (8W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. QPR have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Swansea average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. QPR: 4W 5D 2L, goals 15–12; Swansea: 7W 2D 2L, goals 16–8.
- Head to head. In their 24 meetings so far, QPR have 8 wins, Swansea have 10 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 29–32.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Swansea are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 24; QPR 8 wins, 6 draws, Swansea 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: QPR 15–12, Swansea 16–8.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: QPR 6, Swansea 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
QPR are missing: R. Burrell, I. Chair, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, K. Dembele. Swansea are without: C. Burgess, J. Key, Ronald. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
QPR vs Swansea: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.50 | 3.49 | 3.03 |
| Market average | 2.42 | 3.34 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.79 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.91 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.87 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.23 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:58. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: QPR 1–1 Swansea, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: QPR 9th (20 points), Swansea 2nd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: QPR 4W 5D 2L (15:12), Swansea 7W 2D 2L (16:8).
- H2H: 24 matches: QPR 8W 6D 10L, goals 29–32.
- Absences: QPR 6, Swansea 3.
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
QPR vs Swansea: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
QPR vs Swansea: who is missing
QPR
- R. Burrellnot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Chairmuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Lampteynot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Madseninjury · will miss the match
- A. S. Mbengueknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Dembeleabsence · doubtful
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- J. Keymuscle injury · will miss the match
- Ronaldhamstring injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
QPR vs Swansea: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
QPR
Home and away
QPR vs Swansea: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
QPRLWLWDSwanseaWLLWWQPR vs Swansea: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
QPR vs Swansea: questions and answers
What is the best tip for QPR vs Swansea?
Our result tip is QPR or draw (1X) (odds 1.45), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.73). The safer pick is QPR or draw (1X).
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
Our probabilities: QPR to win 39%, a draw 28%, Swansea to win 33%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Loftus Road, London. Referee: Sam Allison, England.
Who will be missing?
QPR: R. Burrell, I. Chair, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, K. Dembele. Swansea: C. Burgess, J. Key, Ronald. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.96); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.92).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.4%); after that come 1–0 (9.9%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.