Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Birmingham meet QPR on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham), refereed by Thomas Kirk, England. Birmingham (48%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Birmingham vs QPR: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Birmingham are 6th with 23 points after 13 matches (6W 5D 2L), whereas QPR are 9th with 20 points (5W 5D 3L).
What to expect
Birmingham should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: Birmingham 0, QPR 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Birmingham are missing: no absences. QPR are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Birmingham vs QPR: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.99 | 3.70 | 3.87 |
| Market average | 1.96 | 3.53 | 3.66 |
| Lowest odds | 1.93 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.82 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.94 | 48.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.06 | 30.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.02 | 45.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Birmingham 1–1 QPR, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Birmingham 6th (23 points), QPR 9th (20 points).
- Absences: Birmingham 0, QPR 0.
Who will win Birmingham vs QPR?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Birmingham vs QPR: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Birmingham vs QPR: who is missing
Birmingham
- No reported absences
QPR
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Birmingham vs QPR: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
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Birmingham vs QPR: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Birmingham vs QPR?
QPR +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.69); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win Birmingham vs QPR?
Our probabilities: Birmingham to win 48%, a draw 27%, QPR to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham. Referee: Thomas Kirk, England.
Who will be missing?
Birmingham: no absences. QPR: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.87); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.8%); after that come 1–0 (10.8%) and 2–1 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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