Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Swansea v West Ham is on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea); Josh Smith, England takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Swansea vs West Ham: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.54 | 3.76 | 2.20 |
| Market average | 3.24 | 3.60 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.73 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.06 | 45.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.75 | 33.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Swansea 1–1 West Ham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Swansea 2nd (26 points), West Ham 8th (22 points).
- Absences: Swansea 0, West Ham 0.
Who will win Swansea vs West Ham?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Swansea vs West Ham: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Swansea vs West Ham: who is missing
Swansea
- No reported absences
West Ham
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Swansea vs West Ham: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Swansea
Home and away
Swansea vs West Ham: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Swansea are 2nd with 26 points after 13 matches (8W 2D 3L), whereas West Ham are 8th with 22 points (6W 4D 3L).
What to expect
West Ham should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Swansea are stronger, but the betting market gives the away side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Absent: Swansea 0, West Ham 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Swansea are missing: no absences. West Ham are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Swansea vs West Ham: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Swansea vs West Ham?
Our result tip is Draw or West Ham (X2) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.62). The safer pick is Draw or West Ham (X2).
Who will win Swansea vs West Ham?
Our probabilities: Swansea to win 29%, a draw 26%, West Ham to win 45%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea. Referee: Josh Smith, England.
Who will be missing?
Swansea: no absences. West Ham: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.76); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.6%); after that come 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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