Bet with MINO CASINO →Vitória SC v FC Porto is on 8 November 2026 · 18:00 at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães). We think FC Porto (58%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Vitória SC are 13th with 9 points after 10 matches (2W 3D 5L), whereas FC Porto are 1st with 30 points (10W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Vitória SC have scored 1.1 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; FC Porto average 2.5 scored and 0.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Vitória SC: 2W 2D 5L, goals 10–10; FC Porto: 10W 0D 0L, goals 25–4.
- Head to head. In their 38 meetings so far, Vitória SC have 4 wins, FC Porto have 29 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 25–75.
What to expect
FC Porto should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.91), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 38; Vitória SC 4 wins, 5 draws, FC Porto 29 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Vitória SC 10–10, FC Porto 25–4.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: Vitória SC 0, FC Porto 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Vitória SC are missing: no absences. FC Porto are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.90 | 4.15 | 1.70 |
| Market average | 5.07 | 3.93 | 1.63 |
| Lowest odds | 4.60 | 3.70 | 1.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 74.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.83 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.99 | 31.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.81 | 51.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.91 | 48.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Vitória SC 0–1 FC Porto, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Vitória SC 13th (9 points), FC Porto 1st (30 points).
- Form in the competition: Vitória SC 2W 2D 5L (10:10), FC Porto 10W 0D 0L (25:4).
- H2H: 38 matches: Vitória SC 4W 5D 29L, goals 25–75.
- Absences: Vitória SC 0, FC Porto 0.
Who will win Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: who is missing
Vitória SC
- No reported absences
FC Porto
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Vitória SC
Home and away
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Vitória SCDWLDLFC PortoWWWWWVitória SC vs FC Porto: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
Our result tip is FC Porto to win (odds 1.70), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.91). The safer pick is Draw or FC Porto (X2).
Who will win Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
Our probabilities: Vitória SC to win 19%, a draw 24%, FC Porto to win 58%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães.
Who will be missing?
Vitória SC: no absences. FC Porto: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.91); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.87).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (11.5%); after that come 1–1 (10.9%) and 0–2 (10.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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