Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rotherham v Newport County is on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham); J. Callum takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Rotherham vs Newport County: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.30 | 3.49 | 3.25 |
| Market average | 2.23 | 3.32 | 3.09 |
| Lowest odds | 2.16 | 3.05 | 2.93 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.92 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.84 | 51.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.27 | 28.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rotherham 1–1 Newport County, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rotherham 22nd (12 points), Newport County 14th (18 points).
- Absences: Rotherham 0, Newport County 0.
Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rotherham vs Newport County: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rotherham vs Newport County: who is missing
Rotherham
- No reported absences
Newport County
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rotherham vs Newport County: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Rotherham
Home and away
Rotherham vs Newport County: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rotherham are 22nd with 12 points after 14 matches (2W 6D 6L), whereas Newport County are 14th with 18 points (4W 6D 4L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Newport County are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Rotherham 0, Newport County 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rotherham are missing: no absences. Newport County are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Rotherham vs Newport County: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rotherham vs Newport County?
Our result tip is Rotherham or draw (1X) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Rotherham or draw (1X).
Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?
Our probabilities: Rotherham to win 42%, a draw 28%, Newport County to win 30%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham. Referee: J. Callum.
Who will be missing?
Rotherham: no absences. Newport County: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 1.97); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.3%); after that come 1–0 (10.2%) and 2–1 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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