Sunderland meet Dinamo Zagreb on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Stadium of Light (Sunderland). Sunderland (65%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.48 | 4.82 | 6.95 |
| Market average | 1.44 | 4.58 | 6.40 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.09 | 5.61 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 79.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.64 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.26 | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.55 | 36.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.78 | 52.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sunderland 2–0 Dinamo Zagreb, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sunderland 9th (7 points), Dinamo Zagreb 18th (4 points).
- Form in the competition: Sunderland 2W 1D 0L (4:2), Dinamo Zagreb 1W 1D 1L (3:4).
- Absences: Sunderland 8, Dinamo Zagreb 7.
Who will win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: who is missing
Sunderland
- J. Angulonot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Ballardmuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Brownenot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Ellborgnot in the squad · will miss the match
- R. Mundleknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Ta Binot in the squad · will miss the match
- C. Talbinot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Mukieleabsence · doubtful
Dinamo Zagreb
- S. McKennanot in the squad · will miss the match
- R. Mudrazijanot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Nevisticnot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Nsokinot in the squad · will miss the match
- P. Tabinasnot in the squad · will miss the match
- F. Topicnot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Radeljicnot in the squad · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 | |
| 30 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Sunderland
Home and away
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sunderland are 9th with 7 points after 3 matches (2W 1D 0L), whereas Dinamo Zagreb are 18th with 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Sunderland have scored 1.3 and conceded 0.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Dinamo Zagreb average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sunderland: 2W 1D 0L, goals 4–2; Dinamo Zagreb: 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
What to expect
Sunderland should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sunderland 4–2, Dinamo Zagreb 3–4.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Sunderland 8, Dinamo Zagreb 7.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.68). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sunderland are missing: J. Angulo, D. Ballard, A. Browne, M. Ellborg, R. Mundle, J. Ta Bi, C. Talbi, N. Mukiele. Dinamo Zagreb are without: S. McKenna, R. Mudrazija, I. Nevistic, N. Nsoki, P. Tabinas, F. Topic, S. Radeljic. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
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Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our result tip is Sunderland to win (odds 1.48), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Sunderland or draw (1X).
Who will win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our probabilities: Sunderland to win 65%, a draw 20%, Dinamo Zagreb to win 15%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.
Who will be missing?
Sunderland: J. Angulo, D. Ballard, A. Browne, M. Ellborg, R. Mundle, J. Ta Bi, C. Talbi, N. Mukiele. Dinamo Zagreb: S. McKenna, R. Mudrazija, I. Nevistic, N. Nsoki, P. Tabinas, F. Topic, S. Radeljic. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.68); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.0%); after that come 1–0 (10.5%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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