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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: tip, odds and prediction – 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Sunderland1.48
XDraw4.82
2Dinamo Zagreb6.95

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:31

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Sunderland meet Dinamo Zagreb on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Stadium of Light (Sunderland). Sunderland (65%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: tip and prediction
Result
Sunderland to win
1.48
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
Combo
Sunderland plus over 2.5 goals
2.29
44% · combo fair price
65%chance of the result
63%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sunderland or draw (1X) – 85% probability, top odds 1.14.

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Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.484.826.95
Market average1.444.586.40
Lowest odds1.404.095.61
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1979.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.681.6457.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.322.2642.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.662.5536.8%
BTTS – yes1.801.7852.4%
BTTS – no2.001.9647.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Sunderland 2–0 Dinamo Zagreb, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Sunderland 9th (7 points), Dinamo Zagreb 18th (4 points).
  • Form in the competition: Sunderland 2W 1D 0L (4:2), Dinamo Zagreb 1W 1D 1L (3:4).
  • Absences: Sunderland 8, Dinamo Zagreb 7.

Who will win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Sunderland65%
Draw20%
Dinamo Zagreb15%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: more markets and betting tips

Sunderland or draw (1X)85.3% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.0% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.21
Likely
Sunderland to win64.8% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.48
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.2% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.68
Possible
Both sides to score: yes52.4% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: no47.6% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.1% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.32
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.8% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.66
Outsider
Draw20.5% · fair odds 4.88 · best 4.82
Outsider
Dinamo Zagreb to win14.7% · fair odds 6.82 · best 6.95
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.81 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.0%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.0%
1 : 010.5%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.4%
3 : 07.7%
3 : 16.9%

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: who is missing

Sunderland

  • J. Angulonot in the squad · will miss the match
  • D. Ballardmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • A. Brownenot in the squad · will miss the match
  • M. Ellborgnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • R. Mundleknee injury · will miss the match
  • J. Ta Binot in the squad · will miss the match
  • C. Talbinot in the squad · will miss the match
  • N. Mukieleabsence · doubtful

Dinamo Zagreb

  • S. McKennanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • R. Mudrazijanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • I. Nevisticnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • N. Nsokinot in the squad · will miss the match
  • P. Tabinasnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • F. Topicnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • S. Radeljicnot in the squad · doubtful

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Sunderland

31 OctLCoventry 3–1 Sunderland
25 OctDSunderland 0–0 Leeds
22 OctDLech Poznań 1–1 Sunderland
18 OctLBournemouth 2–0 Sunderland
15 OctWTorreense 1–2 Sunderland

Dinamo Zagreb

22 OctLDinamo Zagreb 2–4 NEC Nijmegen
15 OctWDinamo Zagreb 1–0 Anderlecht
16 SeptDHapoel Beer Sheva 0–0 Dinamo Zagreb

Home and away

Sunderland at home1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 1–0
Dinamo Zagreb away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 0–0

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Sunderland are 9th with 7 points after 3 matches (2W 1D 0L), whereas Dinamo Zagreb are 18th with 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Sunderland have scored 1.3 and conceded 0.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Dinamo Zagreb average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Sunderland: 2W 1D 0L, goals 4–2; Dinamo Zagreb: 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.

What to expect

Sunderland should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sunderland 4–2, Dinamo Zagreb 3–4.
  2. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
  3. Absent: Sunderland 8, Dinamo Zagreb 7.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.68). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Sunderland are missing: J. Angulo, D. Ballard, A. Browne, M. Ellborg, R. Mundle, J. Ta Bi, C. Talbi, N. Mukiele. Dinamo Zagreb are without: S. McKenna, R. Mudrazija, I. Nevistic, N. Nsoki, P. Tabinas, F. Topic, S. Radeljic. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: team stats compared

SunderlandDinamo Zagreb
64%Form36%
57%Attack43%
67%Defence33%
62.7%Overall37.3%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

SunderlandDWW
Dinamo ZagrebLWD

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Our result tip is Sunderland to win (odds 1.48), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Sunderland or draw (1X).

Who will win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Our probabilities: Sunderland to win 65%, a draw 20%, Dinamo Zagreb to win 15%.

What time and where is kick-off?

5 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.

Who will be missing?

Sunderland: J. Angulo, D. Ballard, A. Browne, M. Ellborg, R. Mundle, J. Ta Bi, C. Talbi, N. Mukiele. Dinamo Zagreb: S. McKenna, R. Mudrazija, I. Nevistic, N. Nsoki, P. Tabinas, F. Topic, S. Radeljic. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.68); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.32).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.80).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.0%); after that come 1–0 (10.5%) and 2–1 (9.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.