Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lech Poznań v Sunderland is on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stadion Miejski (Poznan); Balázs Berke takes charge. We think Sunderland (51%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Lech Poznań vs Sunderland: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.29 | 3.90 | 1.90 |
| Market average | 4.05 | 3.76 | 1.84 |
| Lowest odds | 3.80 | 3.45 | 1.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 77.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.72 | 55.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.83 | 2.72 | 34.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.63 | 57.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.17 | 42.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 16:29. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lech Poznań 1–1 Sunderland, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lech Poznań 32nd (1 point), Sunderland 9th (7 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Lech Poznań 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Absences: Lech Poznań 0, Sunderland 0.
Who will win Lech Poznań vs Sunderland?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Lech Poznań vs Sunderland: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lech Poznań vs Sunderland: who is missing
Lech Poznań
- No reported absences
Sunderland
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Lech Poznań vs Sunderland: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 | Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Lech Poznań
Home and away
Lech Poznań vs Sunderland: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Lech Poznań are 32nd with 1 point after 3 matches (0W 1D 2L), whereas Sunderland are 9th with 7 points (2W 1D 0L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Lech Poznań have 0 wins, Sunderland have 0 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 1–1.
What to expect
Sunderland should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Lech Poznań 0 wins, 1 draw, Sunderland 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Lech Poznań 0, Sunderland 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Lech Poznań are missing: no absences. Sunderland are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Lech Poznań vs Sunderland: head to head
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Lech Poznań vs Sunderland: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Lech Poznań vs Sunderland?
Our result tip is Sunderland to win (odds 1.90), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Draw or Sunderland (X2).
Who will win Lech Poznań vs Sunderland?
Our probabilities: Lech Poznań to win 23%, a draw 25%, Sunderland to win 51%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Stadion Miejski, Poznan. Referee: Balázs Berke.
Who will be missing?
Lech Poznań: no absences. Sunderland: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.82); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.1%); after that come 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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