Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Coventry are at home to Sunderland on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry), with Simon Hooper as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Coventry vs Sunderland: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Coventry are 16th with 9 points after 9 matches (3W 0D 6L), whereas Sunderland are 20th with 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Coventry have scored 0.8 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Sunderland average 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Coventry: 2W 0D 6L, goals 6–15; Sunderland: 1W 2D 5L, goals 6–14.
- Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, Coventry have 6 wins, Sunderland have 1 win and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 24–14.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Coventry are stronger, but the betting market gives the away side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 13; Coventry 6 wins, 6 draws, Sunderland 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Coventry 6–15, Sunderland 6–14.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Absent: Coventry 5, Sunderland 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Coventry are missing: A. Amenda, J. Eccles, L. Woolfenden, H. Wright, B. Thomas. Sunderland are without: D. Ballard, R. Mundle, N. Mukiele, J. Ta Bi. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Coventry vs Sunderland: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.23 | 3.42 | 2.41 |
| Market average | 3.09 | 3.29 | 2.34 |
| Lowest odds | 2.78 | 3.05 | 2.26 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.31 | 72.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.00 | 47.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.83 | 52.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.62 | 3.45 | 27.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.01 | 46.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 09:22. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Coventry 1–1 Sunderland, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Coventry 16th (9 points), Sunderland 20th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Coventry 2W 0D 6L (6:15), Sunderland 1W 2D 5L (6:14).
- H2H: 13 matches: Coventry 6W 6D 1L, goals 24–14.
- Absences: Coventry 5, Sunderland 4.
Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Coventry vs Sunderland: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Coventry vs Sunderland: who is missing
Coventry
- A. Amendacalf injury · will miss the match
- J. Ecclesankle injury · will miss the match
- L. Woolfendenknee injury · will miss the match
- H. Wrightmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Thomascalf injury · doubtful
Sunderland
- D. Ballardmuscle injury · will miss the match
- R. Mundleknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Mukieleabsence · doubtful
- J. Ta Biinjury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Coventry vs Sunderland: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Coventry
Home and away
Coventry vs Sunderland: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CoventryWLLWWSunderlandLDLLLCoventry vs Sunderland: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Coventry vs Sunderland: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Coventry vs Sunderland?
Our result tip is Draw or Sunderland (X2) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Draw or Sunderland (X2).
Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?
Our probabilities: Coventry to win 31%, a draw 29%, Sunderland to win 40%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry. Referee: Simon Hooper.
Who will be missing?
Coventry: A. Amenda, J. Eccles, L. Woolfenden, H. Wright, B. Thomas. Sunderland: D. Ballard, R. Mundle, N. Mukiele, J. Ta Bi. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.08); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.89).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.7%); after that come 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.