Bet with MINO CASINO →Sparta Rotterdam meet AZ Alkmaar on 22 November 2026 · 13:30 at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam). AZ Alkmaar (57%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.58 | 4.38 | 1.68 |
| Market average | 4.48 | 4.26 | 1.66 |
| Lowest odds | 4.33 | 4.10 | 1.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.71 | 34.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.06 | 45.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.58 | 2.55 | 36.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 AZ Alkmaar, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sparta Rotterdam 11th (12 points), AZ Alkmaar 5th (20 points).
- Absences: Sparta Rotterdam 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: who is missing
Sparta Rotterdam
- No reported absences
AZ Alkmaar
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Sparta Rotterdam
Home and away
Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sparta Rotterdam are 11th with 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), whereas AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
What to expect
AZ Alkmaar should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Absent: Sparta Rotterdam 0, AZ Alkmaar 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sparta Rotterdam are missing: no absences. AZ Alkmaar are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our result tip is AZ Alkmaar to win (odds 1.68), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Draw or AZ Alkmaar (X2).
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam to win 21%, a draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar to win 57%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 November 2026, kick-off at 13:30, at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. AZ Alkmaar: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 65% (odds 1.47); under 2.5 goals is at 35% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.7%); after that come 1–1 (9.2%) and 0–2 (7.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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