Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam meet Willem II on 17 October 2026 · 20:00 at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel (Rotterdam), refereed by Serdar Gözübüyük. Sparta Rotterdam (61%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.61 | 4.62 | 5.50 |
| Market average | 1.55 | 4.41 | 5.23 |
| Lowest odds | 1.52 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.68 | 2.55 | 36.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.20 | 42.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.32 | 39.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Willem II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sparta Rotterdam 11th (12 points), Willem II 18th (2 points).
- Absences: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Willem II 0.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: who is missing
Sparta Rotterdam
- No reported absences
Willem II
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Sparta Rotterdam
Home and away
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sparta Rotterdam are 11th with 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), whereas Willem II are 18th with 2 points (0W 2D 9L).
What to expect
Sparta Rotterdam should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Absent: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Willem II 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sparta Rotterdam are missing: no absences. Willem II are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
Our result tip is Sparta Rotterdam to win (odds 1.61), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Sparta Rotterdam or draw (1X).
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
Our probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam to win 61%, a draw 21%, Willem II to win 18%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam. Referee: Serdar Gözübüyük.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Willem II: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.50); under 2.5 goals is at 36% (odds 2.68).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.9%); after that come 1–1 (9.2%) and 2–0 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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