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League Two · Matchweek 12 · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: tip, odds and prediction – 20 October 2026, League Two

2–3
1Crawley Town2.95
XDraw3.48
2Shrewsbury2.42

Best available odds · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Crawley Town are at home to Shrewsbury on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley), with I. Searle as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Shrewsbury (X2)
1.44
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
67%chance of the result
57%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.953.482.42
Market average2.813.322.39
Lowest odds2.693.112.30
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2574.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.891.8351.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.001.9348.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.313.0230.7%
BTTS – yes1.671.6456.6%
BTTS – no2.202.1443.4%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Crawley Town 1–1 Shrewsbury, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Crawley Town 24th (9 points), Shrewsbury 15th (18 points).
  • Absences: Crawley Town 0, Shrewsbury 0.

Who will win Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?

Crawley Town33%
Draw28%
Shrewsbury39%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals74.3% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.3% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.37
Likely
Draw or Shrewsbury (X2)66.9% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
Both sides to score: yes56.6% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.89
Possible
Under 2.5 goals48.7% · fair odds 2.06 · best 2.00
Outsider
Both sides to score: no43.4% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.20
Outsider
Shrewsbury to win38.9% · fair odds 2.57 · best 2.42
Outsider
Crawley Town to win33.1% · fair odds 3.02 · best 2.95
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.7% · fair odds 3.25 · best 3.31
Outsider
Draw28.1% · fair odds 3.56 · best 3.48
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.75 · Under 1.99
probability of over 53.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.2%
0 : 19.4%
1 : 08.7%
1 : 28.6%
2 : 18.0%
0 : 06.7%

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: who is missing

Crawley Town

  • No reported absences

Shrewsbury

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Crawley Town

31 OctWOldham 0–1 Crawley Town
24 OctDCrawley Town 1–1 Tranmere
20 OctLCrawley Town 2–3 Shrewsbury
17 OctLSalford City 2–1 Crawley Town
10 OctDCrawley Town 2–2 Chesterfield

Shrewsbury

31 OctLShrewsbury 1–2 Gillingham
24 OctDRotherham 3–3 Shrewsbury
20 OctWCrawley Town 2–3 Shrewsbury
17 OctWShrewsbury 1–0 Bristol Rovers
10 OctLShrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City

Home and away

Crawley Town at home6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 6–12
Shrewsbury away7 matches: 2W 2D 3L, goals 9–14

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Crawley Town are 24th with 9 points after 12 matches (2W 3D 7L), whereas Shrewsbury are 15th with 18 points (5W 3D 6L).

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
  2. Absent: Crawley Town 0, Shrewsbury 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Crawley Town are missing: no absences. Shrewsbury are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?

Our result tip is Draw or Shrewsbury (X2) (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or Shrewsbury (X2).

Who will win Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury?

Our probabilities: Crawley Town to win 33%, a draw 28%, Shrewsbury to win 39%.

What time and where is kick-off?

20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley. Referee: I. Searle.

Who will be missing?

Crawley Town: no absences. Shrewsbury: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.89); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 2.00).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.2%); after that come 0–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (8.7%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.