Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sevilla v Osasuna is on 26 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán (Seville); Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias takes charge. We think Sevilla (52%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Sevilla vs Osasuna: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.94 | 3.60 | 5.08 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.48 | 4.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.38 | 68.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.21 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.68 | 56.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.33 | 3.91 | 24.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.02 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.80 | 1.76 | 53.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 26/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sevilla 1–0 Osasuna, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sevilla 6th (17 points), Osasuna 15th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Sevilla 4W 2D 3L (14:16), Osasuna 3W 2D 4L (10:18).
- H2H: 26 matches: Sevilla 13W 6D 7L, goals 39–25.
- Absences: Sevilla 2, Osasuna 4.
Who will win Sevilla vs Osasuna?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sevilla vs Osasuna: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sevilla vs Osasuna: who is missing
Sevilla
- Marcaomuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Sierrashoulder injury · will miss the match
Osasuna
- A. Bonelnot in the squad · will miss the match
- R. Del Castillomuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Herrandomuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Orozhamstring injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sevilla vs Osasuna: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Sevilla
Home and away
Sevilla vs Osasuna: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sevilla are 6th with 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L), whereas Osasuna are 15th with 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Sevilla have scored 1.6 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Osasuna average 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sevilla: 4W 2D 3L, goals 14–16; Osasuna: 3W 2D 4L, goals 10–18.
- Head to head. In their 26 meetings so far, Sevilla have 13 wins, Osasuna have 7 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 39–25.
What to expect
Sevilla should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (14.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.77), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 26; Sevilla 13 wins, 6 draws, Osasuna 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sevilla 14–16, Osasuna 10–18.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 43%.
- Absent: Sevilla 2, Osasuna 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sevilla are missing: Marcao, M. Sierra. Osasuna are without: A. Bonel, R. Del Castillo, J. Herrando, A. Oroz. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sevilla vs Osasuna: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
SevillaLWLDLOsasunaLLWLDSevilla vs Osasuna: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Sevilla vs Osasuna: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Our result tip is Sevilla to win (odds 1.94), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.77). The safer pick is Sevilla or draw (1X).
Who will win Sevilla vs Osasuna?
Our probabilities: Sevilla to win 52%, a draw 27%, Osasuna to win 20%.
What time and where is kick-off?
26 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville. Referee: Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias.
Who will be missing?
Sevilla: Marcao, M. Sierra. Osasuna: A. Bonel, R. Del Castillo, J. Herrando, A. Oroz. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 43% (odds 2.31); under 2.5 goals is at 57% (odds 1.77).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 47% probability (odds 2.02).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (14.3%); after that come 1–1 (12.2%) and 2–0 (10.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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