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League Two · Matchweek 15 · 14 November 2026 · 15:00

Salford City vs Northampton: tip, odds and prediction – 14 November 2026, League Two

1Salford City1.67
XDraw3.85
2Northampton5.10

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 08:20

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Salford City v Northampton is on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at Peninsula Stadium (Salford). We think Salford City (57%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Salford City vs Northampton: tip and prediction
Result
Salford City to win
1.67
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.80
Combo
Salford City plus over 2.5 goals
2.82
36% · combo fair price
57%chance of the result
53%chance for the goals tip
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Salford City or draw (1X) – 81% probability, top odds 1.18.

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Salford City vs Northampton: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.673.855.10
Market average1.633.744.96
Lowest odds1.603.604.84
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2374.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7852.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.001.9847.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8532.3%
BTTS – yes1.801.7852.0%
BTTS – no1.961.9348.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Salford City 1–0 Northampton, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Salford City 1st (31 points), Northampton 20th (14 points).
  • Form in the competition: Salford City 10W 1D 3L (25:15), Northampton 3W 5D 4L (9:9).
  • Absences: Salford City 0, Northampton 0.

Who will win Salford City vs Northampton?

Salford City57%
Draw25%
Northampton19%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Salford City vs Northampton: more markets and betting tips

Salford City or draw (1X)81.3% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.6% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.7% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.39
Likely
Salford City to win56.6% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: yes52.0% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: no48.0% · fair odds 2.08 · best 1.96
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.3% · fair odds 3.10 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw24.7% · fair odds 4.04 · best 3.85
Outsider
Northampton to win18.7% · fair odds 5.36 · best 5.10
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 011.5%
1 : 110.9%
2 : 010.4%
2 : 19.8%
0 : 06.4%
3 : 06.2%

Salford City vs Northampton: who is missing

Salford City

  • No reported absences

Northampton

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Salford City vs Northampton: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Salford City

31 OctWSalford City 2–1 Exeter City
26 OctWWalsall 2–4 Salford City
20 OctWBristol Rovers 1–2 Salford City
17 OctWSalford City 2–1 Crawley Town
10 OctWCheltenham 0–2 Salford City

Northampton

31 OctDAccrington ST 1–1 Northampton
24 OctWNorthampton 2–0 Colchester
20 OctLNorthampton 0–1 Tranmere
17 OctWGrimsby 0–2 Northampton
10 OctDYork 1–1 Northampton

Home and away

Salford City at home7 matches: 6W 0D 1L, goals 9–4
Northampton away6 matches: 1W 3D 2L, goals 5–6

Salford City vs Northampton: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Salford City are 1st with 31 points after 14 matches (10W 1D 3L), whereas Northampton are 20th with 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Salford City have scored 1.8 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Northampton average 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Salford City: 10W 1D 3L, goals 25–15; Northampton: 3W 5D 4L, goals 9–9.

What to expect

Salford City should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Salford City 25–15, Northampton 9–9.
  2. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
  3. Absent: Salford City 0, Northampton 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Salford City are missing: no absences. Northampton are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Salford City vs Northampton: team stats compared

Salford CityNorthampton
65%Form35%
67%Attack33%
38%Defence63%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
55.8%Overall44.3%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Salford CityWWWWW
NorthamptonDWLWD

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.1%

Salford City vs Northampton: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Salford City vs Northampton?

Our result tip is Salford City to win (odds 1.67), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Salford City or draw (1X).

Who will win Salford City vs Northampton?

Our probabilities: Salford City to win 57%, a draw 25%, Northampton to win 19%.

What time and where is kick-off?

14 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Peninsula Stadium, Salford.

Who will be missing?

Salford City: no absences. Northampton: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.00).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.80).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–0 (11.5%); after that come 1–1 (10.9%) and 2–0 (10.4%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.