Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cheltenham v Newport County is on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Whaddon Road (Cheltenham); B. Speedie takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Cheltenham vs Newport County: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.56 | 3.50 | 2.71 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.35 | 2.68 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.86 | 50.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.19 | 29.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 10:04. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cheltenham 1–1 Newport County, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cheltenham 5th (21 points), Newport County 14th (18 points).
- H2H: 25 matches: Cheltenham 10W 9D 6L, goals 31–27.
- Absences: Cheltenham 0, Newport County 0.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Newport County?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Cheltenham vs Newport County: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Cheltenham vs Newport County: who is missing
Cheltenham
- No reported absences
Newport County
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Cheltenham vs Newport County: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Cheltenham
Home and away
Cheltenham vs Newport County: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Cheltenham are 5th with 21 points after 14 matches (6W 3D 5L), whereas Newport County are 14th with 18 points (4W 6D 4L).
- Head to head. In their 25 meetings so far, Cheltenham have 10 wins, Newport County have 6 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 31–27.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 25; Cheltenham 10 wins, 9 draws, Newport County 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: Cheltenham 0, Newport County 0.
Alternative tip: Cheltenham or draw (1X)
Alternative pick: Cheltenham or draw (1X) (probability 65%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Cheltenham are missing: no absences. Newport County are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Cheltenham vs Newport County: head to head
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Cheltenham vs Newport County: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Our result tip is Cheltenham or draw (1X) (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.73). The safer pick is Cheltenham or draw (1X).
Who will win Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Our probabilities: Cheltenham to win 37%, a draw 28%, Newport County to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Whaddon Road, Cheltenham. Referee: B. Speedie.
Who will be missing?
Cheltenham: no absences. Newport County: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.95); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.90).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.4%); after that come 1–0 (9.5%) and 0–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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