Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rayo Vallecano meet Celta Vigo on 31 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid), refereed by Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rayo Vallecano are 12th with 12 points after 10 matches (3W 3D 4L), whereas Celta Vigo are 10th with 12 points (2W 6D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Rayo Vallecano have scored 1.3 and conceded 2.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Celta Vigo average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rayo Vallecano: 2W 3D 4L, goals 12–20; Celta Vigo: 2W 6D 2L, goals 10–7.
- Head to head. In their 21 meetings so far, Rayo Vallecano have 10 wins, Celta Vigo have 5 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 29–26.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (13.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 21; Rayo Vallecano 10 wins, 6 draws, Celta Vigo 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Rayo Vallecano 12–20, Celta Vigo 10–7.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 44%.
- Absent: Rayo Vallecano 4, Celta Vigo 6.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.84). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rayo Vallecano are missing: A. Batalla, P. Ciss, Luiz Felipe, A. Ratiu. Celta Vigo are without: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.59 | 3.34 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.48 | 3.18 | 2.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.36 | 2.96 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.37 | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.15 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 55.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.80 | 24.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.84 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:57. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rayo Vallecano 12th (12 points), Celta Vigo 10th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Rayo Vallecano 2W 3D 4L (12:20), Celta Vigo 2W 6D 2L (10:7).
- H2H: 21 matches: Rayo Vallecano 10W 6D 5L, goals 29–26.
- Absences: Rayo Vallecano 4, Celta Vigo 6.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: who is missing
Rayo Vallecano
- A. Batallaabsence · will miss the match
- P. Cissabsence · will miss the match
- Luiz Felipeknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Ratiumuscle injury · doubtful
Celta Vigo
- H. F. Cuenca Martinezmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. El Abdellaouiknee injury · will miss the match
- B. Iglesiascalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Nunezgroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Romanknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Starfeltmuscle injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Rayo Vallecano
Home and away
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Rayo VallecanoWLDDWCelta VigoLDWDWRayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Our result tip is Rayo Vallecano or draw (1X) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76). The safer pick is Rayo Vallecano or draw (1X).
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
Our probabilities: Rayo Vallecano to win 38%, a draw 30%, Celta Vigo to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:15, at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid. Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid.
Who will be missing?
Rayo Vallecano: A. Batalla, P. Ciss, Luiz Felipe, A. Ratiu. Celta Vigo: H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 44% (odds 2.23); under 2.5 goals is at 56% (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.84).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (13.0%); after that come 1–0 (11.3%) and 0–1 (10.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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