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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: tip, odds and prediction – 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

1–2
1Celtic2.70
XDraw3.60
2Celta Vigo2.86

Best available odds · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Celtic v Celta Vigo is on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Celtic Park (Glasgow); Georgi Nikolov Kabakov takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: tip and prediction
Result
Draw or Celta Vigo (X2)
1.60
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
62%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Celtic vs Celta Vigo: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Celtic are 35th with 0 points after 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), whereas Celta Vigo are 25th with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Celtic have 0 wins, Celta Vigo have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 1–2.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Celtic 0 wins, 0 draws, Celta Vigo 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
  4. Absent: Celtic 0, Celta Vigo 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Celtic are missing: no absences. Celta Vigo are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.703.602.86
Market average2.483.532.73
Lowest odds2.323.402.60
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1979.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.691.6557.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2442.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.5736.7%
BTTS – yes1.531.5161.8%
BTTS – no2.632.4438.2%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Celtic 1–1 Celta Vigo, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Celtic 35th (0 points), Celta Vigo 25th (3 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Celtic 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2.
  • Absences: Celtic 0, Celta Vigo 0.

Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Celtic38%
Draw27%
Celta Vigo35%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.2% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.21
Likely
Celtic or draw (1X)65.2% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.48
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.3% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.53
Likely
Both sides to score: yes61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.6% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.69
Possible
Under 2.5 goals42.4% · fair odds 2.36 · best 2.30
Outsider
Celtic to win38.4% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.70
Outsider
Both sides to score: no38.2% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.63
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.7% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.63
Outsider
Celta Vigo to win34.8% · fair odds 2.87 · best 2.86
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.78 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.14 · Under 1.66
probability of over 43.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.4%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 28.3%
1 : 07.9%
0 : 17.6%
2 : 26.2%

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: who is missing

Celtic

  • No reported absences

Celta Vigo

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Celtic

1 NovLFalkirk 2–0 Celtic
28 OctDCeltic 2–2 Dundee Utd
25 OctWHibernian 1–2 Celtic
22 OctLCeltic 1–2 Celta Vigo
18 OctWCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian

Celta Vigo

31 OctLRayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta Vigo
25 OctDCelta Vigo 0–0 Real Betis
22 OctWCeltic 1–2 Celta Vigo
18 OctWCelta Vigo 2–1 Alavés
15 OctLCelta Vigo 1–2 Juventus

Home and away

Celtic at home2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 2–5
Celta Vigo away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–2

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: head to head

All matches
0Celtic
0Draws
1Celta Vigo
22/10/26 · Celtic 1–2 Celta Vigo

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.5%

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Draw or Celta Vigo (X2) (1.60); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).

Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Our probabilities: Celtic to win 38%, a draw 27%, Celta Vigo to win 35%.

What time and where is kick-off?

22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Celtic Park, Glasgow. Referee: Georgi Nikolov Kabakov.

Who will be missing?

Celtic: no absences. Celta Vigo: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.69); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.3%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.