Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Celtic v Celta Vigo is on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Celtic Park (Glasgow); Georgi Nikolov Kabakov takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Celtic vs Celta Vigo: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Celtic are 35th with 0 points after 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), whereas Celta Vigo are 25th with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Celtic have 0 wins, Celta Vigo have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 1–2.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Celtic 0 wins, 0 draws, Celta Vigo 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Celtic 0, Celta Vigo 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Celtic are missing: no absences. Celta Vigo are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Celtic vs Celta Vigo: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.86 |
| Market average | 2.48 | 3.53 | 2.73 |
| Lowest odds | 2.32 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.69 | 1.65 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.24 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.57 | 36.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Celtic 1–1 Celta Vigo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Celtic 35th (0 points), Celta Vigo 25th (3 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Celtic 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2.
- Absences: Celtic 0, Celta Vigo 0.
Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Celtic vs Celta Vigo: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Celtic vs Celta Vigo: who is missing
Celtic
- No reported absences
Celta Vigo
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Celtic vs Celta Vigo: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 | |
| 30 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
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Celtic vs Celta Vigo: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
Draw or Celta Vigo (X2) (1.60); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
Our probabilities: Celtic to win 38%, a draw 27%, Celta Vigo to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Celtic Park, Glasgow. Referee: Georgi Nikolov Kabakov.
Who will be missing?
Celtic: no absences. Celta Vigo: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.69); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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