Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Osasuna meet Racing Santander on 18 October 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona), refereed by Juan Martínez Munuera, Spain. Osasuna (48%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Osasuna are 15th with 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), whereas Racing Santander are 16th with 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
What to expect
Osasuna should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Osasuna 0, Racing Santander 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Osasuna are missing: no absences. Racing Santander are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.04 | 3.80 | 3.84 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.73 | 3.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.65 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.28 | 42.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.48 | 37.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.33 | 39.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 09:50. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Osasuna 1–1 Racing Santander, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Osasuna 15th (11 points), Racing Santander 16th (11 points).
- Absences: Osasuna 0, Racing Santander 0.
Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: who is missing
Osasuna
- No reported absences
Racing Santander
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
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Osasuna vs Racing Santander: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Our result tip is Osasuna to win (odds 2.04), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Osasuna or draw (1X).
Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Our probabilities: Osasuna to win 48%, a draw 26%, Racing Santander to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona. Referee: Juan Martínez Munuera, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Osasuna: no absences. Racing Santander: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.68); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.60).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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