Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Racing Santander v Real Madrid is on 1 November 2026 · 15:15 at El Sardinero (Santander); Jose Luis Munuera Montero takes charge. We think Real Madrid (78%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Racing Santander are 16th with 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), whereas Real Madrid are 3rd with 27 points (9W 0D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Racing Santander have scored 1.5 and conceded 2.6 goals per game on average in this competition; Real Madrid average 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Racing Santander: 3W 2D 5L, goals 15–26; Real Madrid: 8W 0D 2L, goals 25–10.
- Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Racing Santander have 0 wins, Real Madrid have 3 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–13.
What to expect
Real Madrid should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–3, about 4 goals combined, and 1–3 (8.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.26, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 59%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 4; Racing Santander 0 wins, 1 draw, Real Madrid 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Racing Santander 15–26, Real Madrid 25–10.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 77%.
- Absent: Racing Santander 2, Real Madrid 5.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Racing Santander are missing: A. Martin, J. Salinas. Real Madrid are without: R. Asencio, F. Mendy, Rodrygo, F. Valverde, Vinicius Junior. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 11.50 | 8.50 | 1.26 |
| Market average | 10.82 | 7.58 | 1.22 |
| Lowest odds | 8.87 | 6.76 | 1.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.04 | 89.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 76.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.20 | 4.03 | 23.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 58.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 13:36. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Racing Santander 1–3 Real Madrid, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Racing Santander 16th (11 points), Real Madrid 3rd (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Racing Santander 3W 2D 5L (15:26), Real Madrid 8W 0D 2L (25:10).
- H2H: 4 matches: Racing Santander 0W 1D 3L, goals 2–13.
- Absences: Racing Santander 2, Real Madrid 5.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: who is missing
Racing Santander
- A. Martinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Salinasabsence · will miss the match
Real Madrid
- R. Asenciobroken leg · will miss the match
- F. Mendyhip injury · will miss the match
- Rodrygoknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Valverdehamstring injury · will miss the match
- Vinicius Juniorred card · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Racing Santander
Home and away
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Racing SantanderLWLDLReal MadridWWWWLRacing Santander vs Real Madrid: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Our result tip is Real Madrid to win (odds 1.26), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.62). The safer pick is Draw or Real Madrid (X2).
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Our probabilities: Racing Santander to win 9%, a draw 13%, Real Madrid to win 78%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 15:15, at El Sardinero, Santander. Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero.
Who will be missing?
Racing Santander: A. Martin, J. Salinas. Real Madrid: R. Asencio, F. Mendy, Rodrygo, F. Valverde, Vinicius Junior. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 77% (odds 1.27); under 2.5 goals is at 23% (odds 4.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–3 (8.2%); after that come 0–3 (8.2%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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