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Championship · Matchweek 15 · 7 November 2026 · 15:00

Preston vs Southampton: tip, odds and prediction – 7 November 2026, Championship

LDLLL
VS
1Preston5.40
XDraw4.60
2Southampton1.58

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 08:19

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Preston meet Southampton on 7 November 2026 · 15:00 at Deepdale (Preston). Southampton (60%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Preston vs Southampton: tip and prediction
Result
Southampton to win
1.58
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.55
Combo
Southampton plus over 2.5 goals
2.34
43% · combo fair price
60%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Southampton (X2) – 82% probability, top odds 1.18.

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Preston vs Southampton: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds5.404.601.58
Market average5.214.341.55
Lowest odds5.004.001.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1481.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5161.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.522.4138.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.352.2841.2%
BTTS – yes1.601.5858.7%
BTTS – no2.302.2541.3%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Preston 1–2 Southampton, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Preston 24th (5 points), Southampton 5th (23 points).
  • Form in the competition: Preston 1W 2D 10L (10:27), Southampton 8W 3D 2L (28:13).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Preston 1W 1D 3L, goals 6–10.
  • Absences: Preston 0, Southampton 0.

Who will win Preston vs Southampton?

Preston18%
Draw22%
Southampton60%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Preston vs Southampton: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Southampton (X2)82.1% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals81.1% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.6% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Southampton to win60.5% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.58
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.8% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Both sides to score: yes58.7% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.60
Possible
Both sides to score: no41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.2% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.35
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.4% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.52
Outsider
Draw21.6% · fair odds 4.63 · best 4.60
Outsider
Preston to win17.9% · fair odds 5.57 · best 5.40
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 11.5 corners
Over 1.99 · Under 1.75
probability of over 46.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 29.9%
1 : 19.4%
0 : 29.0%
0 : 18.6%
1 : 36.9%
0 : 36.3%

Preston vs Southampton: who is missing

Preston

  • No reported absences

Southampton

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Preston vs Southampton: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough138-4-130:1728
2Swansea138-2-320:1326
3Wolves137-3-323:1624
4West Brom137-3-319:1424
5Southampton138-3-228:1323
6Birmingham136-5-223:1323
7Stoke City137-2-420:1623
8West Ham136-4-333:1822
9QPR135-5-321:1620
10Sheffield Utd135-4-417:1519
11Portsmouth135-4-416:1519
12Millwall135-3-523:2118
13Blackburn135-3-519:2018
14Bristol City135-3-515:1718
15Norwich135-0-823:2415
16Lincoln134-3-614:2315
17Cardiff133-5-519:2014
18Wrexham133-5-515:1914
19Bolton134-2-718:2614
20Charlton133-5-511:2114
21Watford133-2-812:2311
22Burnley131-6-617:259
23Derby131-4-811:257
24Preston131-2-1010:275

Recent matches

Preston

31 OctLStoke City 2–0 Preston
24 OctDPreston 1–1 West Brom
17 OctLWrexham 4–1 Preston
13 OctLBirmingham 4–0 Preston
10 OctLPreston 0–1 Millwall

Southampton

31 OctWSouthampton 4–1 QPR
24 OctWWest Ham 2–3 Southampton
17 OctDSouthampton 0–0 Bolton
14 OctWNorwich 0–1 Southampton
11 OctWSouthampton 1–0 Portsmouth

Home and away

Preston at home6 matches: 1W 1D 4L, goals 5–10
Southampton away6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 8–8

Preston vs Southampton: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Preston are 24th with 5 points after 13 matches (1W 2D 10L), whereas Southampton are 5th with 23 points (8W 3D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Preston have scored 0.8 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Southampton average 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Preston: 1W 2D 10L, goals 10–27; Southampton: 8W 3D 2L, goals 28–13.
  4. Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Preston have 1 win, Southampton have 3 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–10.

What to expect

Southampton should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 5; Preston 1 win, 1 draw, Southampton 3 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Preston 10–27, Southampton 28–13.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
  5. Absent: Preston 0, Southampton 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Preston are missing: no absences. Southampton are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Preston vs Southampton: team stats compared

PrestonSouthampton
7%Form93%
18%Attack82%
20%Defence80%
29%Head to head71%
38%Goals63%
23.3%Overall76.8%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

PrestonLDLLL
SouthamptonWWDWW

Preston vs Southampton: head to head

All matches
1Preston
1Draws
3Southampton
2/5/26 · Preston 1–3 Southampton
1/11/25 · Southampton 0–2 Preston
16/4/24 · Southampton 3–0 Preston
25/10/23 · Preston 2–2 Southampton
21/9/11 · Southampton 2–1 Preston

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Preston vs Southampton: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Preston vs Southampton?

Our result tip is Southampton to win (odds 1.58), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Draw or Southampton (X2).

Who will win Preston vs Southampton?

Our probabilities: Preston to win 18%, a draw 22%, Southampton to win 60%.

What time and where is kick-off?

7 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Deepdale, Preston.

Who will be missing?

Preston: no absences. Southampton: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.55); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.52).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.60).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.9%); after that come 1–1 (9.4%) and 0–2 (9.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Watford vs Lincoln 3 NovPreston vs Sheffield Utd 3 NovBlackburn vs Stoke City 3 NovDerby vs Norwich 3 NovQPR vs Burnley 3 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.