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Championship · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 15:00

Wrexham vs Preston: tip, odds and prediction – 17 October 2026, Championship

LLWLD
4–1
LDLLL
1Wrexham1.67
XDraw4.11
2Preston6.22

Best available odds · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Wrexham are at home to Preston on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Racecourse Ground (Wrexham), with Simon Hooper, England as the referee. Our favourites are Wrexham (60%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Wrexham vs Preston: tip and prediction
Result
Wrexham to win
1.67
Goals
No to both teams scoring
1.79
Combo
Wrexham plus over 2.5 goals
2.80
36% · combo fair price
60%chance of the result
52%chance for the goals tip
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Wrexham or draw (1X) – 83% probability, top odds 1.14.

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Wrexham vs Preston: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Wrexham are 18th with 14 points after 13 matches (3W 5D 5L), whereas Preston are 24th with 5 points (1W 2D 10L).

What to expect

Wrexham should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.79), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
  2. Absent: Wrexham 0, Preston 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 52%, best available odds 1.79). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Wrexham are missing: no absences. Preston are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Wrexham vs Preston: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.674.116.22
Market average1.583.955.69
Lowest odds1.533.804.75
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.331.2872.5%
Over 2.5 goals2.001.9149.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.961.8650.6%
Over 3.5 goals3.503.1729.3%
BTTS – yes2.001.9447.6%
BTTS – no1.791.7652.4%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Wrexham 1–0 Preston, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Wrexham 18th (14 points), Preston 24th (5 points).
  • Absences: Wrexham 0, Preston 0.

Who will win Wrexham vs Preston?

Wrexham60%
Draw24%
Preston17%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Wrexham vs Preston: more markets and betting tips

Wrexham or draw (1X)83.4% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.7% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.37
Likely
Wrexham to win59.6% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.67
Possible
Both sides to score: no52.4% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.96
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 2.00
Outsider
Both sides to score: yes47.6% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.3% · fair odds 3.41 · best 3.50
Outsider
Draw23.8% · fair odds 4.20 · best 4.11
Outsider
Preston to win16.6% · fair odds 6.03 · best 6.22
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.05 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.3%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.93 · Under 1.80
probability of over 48.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 012.7%
2 : 011.4%
1 : 110.8%
2 : 19.7%
0 : 07.1%
3 : 06.9%

Wrexham vs Preston: who is missing

Wrexham

  • No reported absences

Preston

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Wrexham vs Preston: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough138-4-130:1728
2Swansea138-2-320:1326
3Wolves137-3-323:1624
4West Brom137-3-319:1424
5Southampton138-3-228:1323
6Birmingham136-5-223:1323
7Stoke City137-2-420:1623
8West Ham136-4-333:1822
9QPR135-5-321:1620
10Sheffield Utd135-4-417:1519
11Portsmouth135-4-416:1519
12Millwall135-3-523:2118
13Blackburn135-3-519:2018
14Bristol City135-3-515:1718
15Norwich135-0-823:2415
16Lincoln134-3-614:2315
17Cardiff133-5-519:2014
18Wrexham133-5-515:1914
19Bolton134-2-718:2614
20Charlton133-5-511:2114
21Watford133-2-812:2311
22Burnley131-6-617:259
23Derby131-4-811:257
24Preston131-2-1010:275

Recent matches

Wrexham

30 OctLSheffield Utd 1–0 Wrexham
24 OctLBlackburn 2–0 Wrexham
17 OctWWrexham 4–1 Preston
13 OctLWrexham 1–2 West Brom
10 OctDDerby 1–1 Wrexham

Preston

31 OctLStoke City 2–0 Preston
24 OctDPreston 1–1 West Brom
17 OctLWrexham 4–1 Preston
13 OctLBirmingham 4–0 Preston
10 OctLPreston 0–1 Millwall

Home and away

Wrexham at home6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 10–8
Preston away7 matches: 0W 1D 6L, goals 5–17

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.6%

Wrexham vs Preston: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Wrexham vs Preston?

Our result tip is Wrexham to win (odds 1.67), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.79). The safer pick is Wrexham or draw (1X).

Who will win Wrexham vs Preston?

Our probabilities: Wrexham to win 60%, a draw 24%, Preston to win 17%.

What time and where is kick-off?

17 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Racecourse Ground, Wrexham. Referee: Simon Hooper, England.

Who will be missing?

Wrexham: no absences. Preston: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 2.00); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.96).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 48% probability (odds 2.00).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.7%); after that come 2–0 (11.4%) and 1–1 (10.8%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.