Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Wrexham are at home to Preston on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Racecourse Ground (Wrexham), with Simon Hooper, England as the referee. Our favourites are Wrexham (60%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Wrexham vs Preston: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Wrexham are 18th with 14 points after 13 matches (3W 5D 5L), whereas Preston are 24th with 5 points (1W 2D 10L).
What to expect
Wrexham should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.79), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Wrexham 0, Preston 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 52%, best available odds 1.79). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Wrexham are missing: no absences. Preston are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Wrexham vs Preston: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.67 | 4.11 | 6.22 |
| Market average | 1.58 | 3.95 | 5.69 |
| Lowest odds | 1.53 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.28 | 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.91 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.86 | 50.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.17 | 29.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.79 | 1.76 | 52.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Wrexham 1–0 Preston, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Wrexham 18th (14 points), Preston 24th (5 points).
- Absences: Wrexham 0, Preston 0.
Who will win Wrexham vs Preston?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Wrexham vs Preston: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Wrexham vs Preston: who is missing
Wrexham
- No reported absences
Preston
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Wrexham vs Preston: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 | |
| 7 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 19 | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 | |
| 22 | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 | |
| 23 | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
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Wrexham vs Preston: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Wrexham vs Preston?
Our result tip is Wrexham to win (odds 1.67), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.79). The safer pick is Wrexham or draw (1X).
Who will win Wrexham vs Preston?
Our probabilities: Wrexham to win 60%, a draw 24%, Preston to win 17%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Racecourse Ground, Wrexham. Referee: Simon Hooper, England.
Who will be missing?
Wrexham: no absences. Preston: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 2.00); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 48% probability (odds 2.00).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.7%); after that come 2–0 (11.4%) and 1–1 (10.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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