Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
West Ham meet Southampton on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at London Stadium (London), refereed by Michael Salisbury, England. West Ham (56%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
West Ham vs Southampton: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, West Ham are 8th with 22 points after 13 matches (6W 4D 3L), whereas Southampton are 5th with 23 points (8W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. West Ham have scored 2.7 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Southampton average 1.9 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. West Ham: 6W 4D 1L, goals 30–12; Southampton: 6W 3D 2L, goals 21–10.
- Head to head. In their 29 meetings so far, West Ham have 13 wins, Southampton have 8 wins and 8 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 45–31.
What to expect
West Ham should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 29; West Ham 13 wins, 8 draws, Southampton 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: West Ham 30–12, Southampton 21–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Absent: West Ham 1, Southampton 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 63%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
West Ham are missing: K. Lamadrid. Southampton are without: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, F. Downes, C. Larin. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
West Ham vs Southampton: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.75 | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| Market average | 1.69 | 4.14 | 4.43 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 83.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.46 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.58 | 36.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.18 | 43.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:58. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: West Ham 2–1 Southampton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: West Ham 8th (22 points), Southampton 5th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: West Ham 6W 4D 1L (30:12), Southampton 6W 3D 2L (21:10).
- H2H: 29 matches: West Ham 13W 8D 8L, goals 45–31.
- Absences: West Ham 1, Southampton 3.
Who will win West Ham vs Southampton?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
West Ham vs Southampton: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
West Ham vs Southampton: who is missing
West Ham
- K. Lamadridinjury · will miss the match
Southampton
- M. Roerslev Rasmussenabsence · will miss the match
- F. Downesankle injury · doubtful
- C. Larinhamstring injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
West Ham vs Southampton: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
West Ham
Home and away
West Ham vs Southampton: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
West HamLLWWDSouthamptonWWDWWWest Ham vs Southampton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
West Ham vs Southampton: questions and answers
What is the best tip for West Ham vs Southampton?
West Ham -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Over 2.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win West Ham vs Southampton?
Our probabilities: West Ham to win 56%, a draw 23%, Southampton to win 21%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at London Stadium, London. Referee: Michael Salisbury, England.
Who will be missing?
West Ham: K. Lamadrid. Southampton: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, F. Downes, C. Larin. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.53); under 2.5 goals is at 36% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 63% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.8%); after that come 1–1 (9.5%) and 2–0 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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