Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Millwall v Lincoln is on 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at The Den (London); Ruebyn Ricardo takes charge. We think Millwall (55%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Millwall vs Lincoln: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Millwall are 12th with 18 points after 13 matches (5W 3D 5L), whereas Lincoln are 16th with 15 points (4W 3D 6L).
What to expect
Millwall should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.84), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Absent: Millwall 0, Lincoln 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 50%, best available odds 1.86). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Millwall are missing: no absences. Lincoln are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Millwall vs Lincoln: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.78 | 3.90 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.83 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.96 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.81 | 52.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.56 | 3.30 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.84 | 50.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.86 | 1.84 | 50.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 10:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Millwall 1–0 Lincoln, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Millwall 12th (18 points), Lincoln 16th (15 points).
- Absences: Millwall 0, Lincoln 0.
Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Millwall vs Lincoln: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Millwall vs Lincoln: who is missing
Millwall
- No reported absences
Lincoln
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Millwall vs Lincoln: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
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Millwall vs Lincoln: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Millwall vs Lincoln?
Our result tip is Millwall to win (odds 1.78), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.84). The safer pick is Millwall or draw (1X).
Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?
Our probabilities: Millwall to win 55%, a draw 25%, Lincoln to win 20%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at The Den, London. Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo.
Who will be missing?
Millwall: no absences. Lincoln: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.06); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.84).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.85).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.9%); after that come 1–1 (11.6%) and 2–0 (10.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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