Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Portsmouth meet Millwall on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Fratton Park (Portsmouth), refereed by Tom Reeves, England. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Portsmouth are 11th with 19 points after 13 matches (5W 4D 4L), whereas Millwall are 12th with 18 points (5W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Portsmouth have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Millwall average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Portsmouth: 4W 3D 4L, goals 14–14; Millwall: 4W 3D 4L, goals 18–18.
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Portsmouth have 3 wins, Millwall have 6 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 10–11.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Portsmouth 3 wins, 0 draws, Millwall 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Portsmouth 14–14, Millwall 18–18.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Absent: Portsmouth 10, Millwall 8.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Portsmouth are missing: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, C. Shaughnessy, J. Swift, F. Umeh. Millwall are without: J. Coburn, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, M. Luongo, F. Marschall, M. Servais, T. Arconte, M. Ivanovic. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.50 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.47 | 3.27 | 2.86 |
| Lowest odds | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.96 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.82 | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.48 | 3.32 | 28.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 10:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Portsmouth 1–1 Millwall, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Portsmouth 11th (19 points), Millwall 12th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Portsmouth 4W 3D 4L (14:14), Millwall 4W 3D 4L (18:18).
- H2H: 9 matches: Portsmouth 3W 0D 6L, goals 10–11.
- Absences: Portsmouth 10, Millwall 8.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Portsmouth vs Millwall: who is missing
Portsmouth
- K. Andersonabsence · will miss the match
- B. Arthurback injury · will miss the match
- C. Bishopknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Brooke-Smithankle injury · will miss the match
- M. Kosznovszkyknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Murphygroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Ogilvieknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Shaughnessyinjury · will miss the match
- J. Swiftknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Umehhamstring injury · will miss the match
Millwall
- J. Coburnmuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. De Norremuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Jensenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Luongoknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Marschallinjury · will miss the match
- M. Servaisnot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Arconteankle injury · doubtful
- M. Ivanovichamstring injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Portsmouth
Home and away
Portsmouth vs Millwall: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
PortsmouthDWDWWMillwallWLDLWPortsmouth vs Millwall: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Portsmouth vs Millwall: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Portsmouth vs Millwall?
Our result tip is Portsmouth or draw (1X) (odds 1.44), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Portsmouth or draw (1X).
Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?
Our probabilities: Portsmouth to win 38%, a draw 29%, Millwall to win 33%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Fratton Park, Portsmouth. Referee: Tom Reeves, England.
Who will be missing?
Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, C. Shaughnessy, J. Swift, F. Umeh. Millwall: J. Coburn, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, M. Luongo, F. Marschall, M. Servais, T. Arconte, M. Ivanovic. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.02); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (10.0%) and 0–1 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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