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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11 · 22 November 2026 · 16:15

Lorient vs Rennes: tip, odds and prediction – 22 November 2026, Ligue 1

LDWWL
VS
LWLWL
1Lorient3.21
XDraw3.80
2Rennes2.27

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:21

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Lorient v Rennes is on 22 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Lorient vs Rennes: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Rennes (X2)
1.40
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.45
69%chance of the result
66%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Lorient vs Rennes: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.213.802.27
Market average3.113.662.21
Lowest odds3.003.502.15
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2277.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7554.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.182.1345.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.862.8033.7%
BTTS – yes1.621.5958.5%
BTTS – no2.262.2441.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:21. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lorient 1–1 Rennes, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lorient 11th (12 points), Rennes 5th (16 points).
  • Absences: Lorient 0, Rennes 0.

Who will win Lorient vs Rennes?

Lorient31%
Draw26%
Rennes43%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Lorient vs Rennes: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals77.3% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.25
Likely
Draw or Rennes (X2)69.3% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.3% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.45
Likely
Both sides to score: yes58.5% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.9% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.1% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.18
Outsider
Rennes to win43.2% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.27
Outsider
Both sides to score: no41.5% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.26
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.7% · fair odds 2.97 · best 2.86
Outsider
Lorient to win30.7% · fair odds 3.26 · best 3.21
Outsider
Draw26.1% · fair odds 3.84 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.7%
1 : 29.0%
0 : 19.0%
2 : 17.6%
1 : 07.5%
0 : 26.9%

Lorient vs Rennes: who is missing

Lorient

  • No reported absences

Rennes

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Lorient vs Rennes: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
11Lorient93-3-37:812
12Toulouse92-4-312:1310
13Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Lorient

2 NovLLorient 0–2 Stade Brestois 29
25 OctDAngers 0–0 Lorient
18 OctWLorient 1–0 Monaco
10 OctWLorient 1–0 Paris FC
19 SeptLLe Mans 2–1 Lorient

Rennes

30 OctLNice 5–2 Rennes
25 OctWRennes 3–0 Strasbourg
22 OctDJuventus 2–2 Rennes
18 OctLParis FC 4–3 Rennes
15 OctWRennes 2–1 OFI

Home and away

Lorient at home5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 5–6
Rennes away4 matches: 1W 0D 3L, goals 7–14

Lorient vs Rennes: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Lorient are 11th with 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), whereas Rennes are 5th with 16 points (5W 1D 3L).

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
  2. Absent: Lorient 0, Rennes 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Lorient are missing: no absences. Rennes are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.8%

Lorient vs Rennes: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Lorient vs Rennes?

Our result tip is Draw or Rennes (X2) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45). The safer pick is Draw or Rennes (X2).

Who will win Lorient vs Rennes?

Our probabilities: Lorient to win 31%, a draw 26%, Rennes to win 43%.

What time and where is kick-off?

22 November 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient.

Who will be missing?

Lorient: no absences. Rennes: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.79); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.18).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (9.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Toulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.