Bet with MINO CASINO →Leganés v Albacete is on 7 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganés). We think Leganés (47%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Leganés vs Albacete: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Leganés are 17th with 12 points after 12 matches (3W 3D 6L), whereas Albacete are 21st with 7 points (2W 1D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Leganés have scored 0.8 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Albacete average 0.8 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Leganés: 3W 3D 6L, goals 10–20; Albacete: 2W 1D 9L, goals 10–23.
- Head to head. In their 12 meetings so far, Leganés have 4 wins, Albacete have 4 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 12–9.
What to expect
Leganés should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.78), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 12; Leganés 4 wins, 4 draws, Albacete 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Leganés 10–20, Albacete 10–23.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: Leganés 0, Albacete 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.78). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Leganés are missing: no absences. Albacete are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Leganés vs Albacete: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.06 | 3.64 | 3.90 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.46 | 3.61 |
| Lowest odds | 1.87 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 73.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.91 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.35 | 3.24 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.73 | 53.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.04 | 1.99 | 46.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Leganés 1–1 Albacete, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Leganés 17th (12 points), Albacete 21st (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Leganés 3W 3D 6L (10:20), Albacete 2W 1D 9L (10:23).
- H2H: 12 matches: Leganés 4W 4D 4L, goals 12–9.
- Absences: Leganés 0, Albacete 0.
Who will win Leganés vs Albacete?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Leganés vs Albacete: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Leganés vs Albacete: who is missing
Leganés
- No reported absences
Albacete
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Leganés vs Albacete: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Leganés
Home and away
Leganés vs Albacete: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
LeganésLDLLLAlbaceteWWLLLLeganés vs Albacete: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Leganés vs Albacete: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Leganés vs Albacete?
Our result tip is Leganés to win (odds 2.06), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.78). The safer pick is Leganés or draw (1X).
Who will win Leganés vs Albacete?
Our probabilities: Leganés to win 47%, a draw 27%, Albacete to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés.
Who will be missing?
Leganés: no absences. Albacete: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.98); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.94).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.78).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.0%); after that come 1–0 (11.0%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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