Bet with MINO CASINO →Córdoba are at home to AD Ceuta FC on 7 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel (Córdoba). Our favourites are Córdoba (63%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Córdoba are 12th with 16 points after 12 matches (5W 1D 6L), whereas AD Ceuta FC are 22nd with 5 points (1W 2D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Córdoba have scored 1.6 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; AD Ceuta FC average 0.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Córdoba: 5W 1D 6L, goals 19–22; AD Ceuta FC: 1W 2D 9L, goals 10–27.
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Córdoba have 3 wins, AD Ceuta FC have 1 win and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–11.
What to expect
Córdoba should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Córdoba 3 wins, 4 draws, AD Ceuta FC 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Córdoba 19–22, AD Ceuta FC 10–27.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Absent: Córdoba 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Córdoba are missing: no absences. AD Ceuta FC are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.54 | 4.75 | 5.90 |
| Market average | 1.48 | 4.58 | 5.39 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.41 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.90 | 2.81 | 33.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.04 | 46.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Córdoba 2–1 AD Ceuta FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Córdoba 12th (16 points), AD Ceuta FC 22nd (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Córdoba 5W 1D 6L (19:22), AD Ceuta FC 1W 2D 9L (10:27).
- H2H: 8 matches: Córdoba 3W 4D 1L, goals 14–11.
- Absences: Córdoba 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Who will win Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC: who is missing
Córdoba
- No reported absences
AD Ceuta FC
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Córdoba
Home and away
Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CórdobaDWWLWAD Ceuta FCLLLLDCórdoba vs AD Ceuta FC: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our result tip is Córdoba to win (odds 1.54), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Córdoba or draw (1X).
Who will win Córdoba vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our probabilities: Córdoba to win 63%, a draw 20%, AD Ceuta FC to win 17%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, Córdoba.
Who will be missing?
Córdoba: no absences. AD Ceuta FC: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 67% (odds 1.44); under 2.5 goals is at 33% (odds 2.90).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.7%); after that come 1–1 (8.4%) and 2–0 (8.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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