Bet with MINO CASINO →Burgos are at home to Celta de Vigo II on 7 November 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío (Burgos). Our favourites are Burgos (57%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.68 | 4.07 | 5.60 |
| Market average | 1.63 | 3.84 | 5.08 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.26 | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.85 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.94 | 48.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.35 | 3.13 | 30.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.82 | 50.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.92 | 1.88 | 49.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Burgos 1–0 Celta de Vigo II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Burgos 8th (21 points), Celta de Vigo II 16th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Burgos 6W 3D 3L (17:13), Celta de Vigo II 3W 4D 5L (18:23).
- H2H: 2 matches: Burgos 1W 1D 0L, goals 2–1.
- Absences: Burgos 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Who will win Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: who is missing
Burgos
- No reported absences
Celta de Vigo II
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 | Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Burgos
Home and away
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Burgos are 8th with 21 points after 12 matches (6W 3D 3L), whereas Celta de Vigo II are 16th with 13 points (3W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Burgos have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Celta de Vigo II average 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Burgos: 6W 3D 3L, goals 17–13; Celta de Vigo II: 3W 4D 5L, goals 18–23.
- Head to head. In their 2 meetings so far, Burgos have 1 win, Celta de Vigo II have 0 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–1.
What to expect
Burgos should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.92), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 2; Burgos 1 win, 1 draw, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Burgos 17–13, Celta de Vigo II 18–23.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: Burgos 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Burgos are missing: no absences. Celta de Vigo II are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
BurgosDWWLLCelta de Vigo IIDLDWLBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II: head to head
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Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our result tip is Burgos to win (odds 1.68), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.92). The safer pick is Burgos or draw (1X).
Who will win Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our probabilities: Burgos to win 57%, a draw 24%, Celta de Vigo II to win 18%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos.
Who will be missing?
Burgos: no absences. Celta de Vigo II: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.92); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.85).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (11.5%); after that come 1–1 (10.9%) and 2–0 (10.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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