Bet with MINO CASINO →Castellón meet Eibar on 6 November 2026 · 19:30 at Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana). Castellón (58%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Castellón vs Eibar: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Castellón are 1st with 27 points after 12 matches (8W 3D 1L), whereas Eibar are 3rd with 23 points (7W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Castellón have scored 1.9 and conceded 0.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Eibar average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Castellón: 8W 3D 1L, goals 23–5; Eibar: 7W 2D 3L, goals 21–14.
- Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Castellón have 2 wins, Eibar have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–2.
What to expect
Castellón should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.60), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 4; Castellón 2 wins, 1 draw, Eibar 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Castellón 23–5, Eibar 21–14.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Castellón 0, Eibar 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Castellón are missing: no absences. Eibar are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Castellón vs Eibar: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.64 | 4.38 | 5.25 |
| Market average | 1.60 | 4.10 | 4.87 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.16 | 80.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.58 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.31 | 40.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.45 | 38.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.26 | 2.19 | 42.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:15. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Castellón 2–1 Eibar, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Castellón 1st (27 points), Eibar 3rd (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Castellón 8W 3D 1L (23:5), Eibar 7W 2D 3L (21:14).
- H2H: 4 matches: Castellón 2W 1D 1L, goals 4–2.
- Absences: Castellón 0, Eibar 0.
Who will win Castellón vs Eibar?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Castellón vs Eibar: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Castellón vs Eibar: who is missing
Castellón
- No reported absences
Eibar
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Castellón vs Eibar: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Castellón
Home and away
Castellón vs Eibar: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CastellónDWWLDEibarDLDLWCastellón vs Eibar: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Castellón vs Eibar: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Castellón vs Eibar?
Castellón -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.82); Under 3.5 goals (1.60).
Who will win Castellón vs Eibar?
Our probabilities: Castellón to win 58%, a draw 23%, Eibar to win 19%.
What time and where is kick-off?
6 November 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Estadio Municipal de Castalia, Castellón de la Plana.
Who will be missing?
Castellón: no absences. Eibar: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.39).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.9%); after that come 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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