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Segunda División · Matchweek 11 · 25 October 2026 · 15:15

Albacete vs Eldense: tip, odds and prediction – 25 October 2026, Segunda División

2–0
LLWWW
1Albacete2.32
XDraw3.55
2Eldense3.24

Best available odds · Updated 25/10/26, 13:29

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Albacete are at home to Eldense on 25 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete), with D. Palencia as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Albacete vs Eldense: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Albacete or draw (1X)
1.42
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
69%chance of the result
66%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Albacete vs Eldense: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.323.553.24
Market average2.243.423.03
Lowest odds2.153.202.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2177.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7354.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.202.0845.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.7833.7%
BTTS – yes1.621.5758.9%
BTTS – no2.342.2641.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 13:29. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Albacete 1–1 Eldense, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Albacete 21st (7 points), Eldense 15th (14 points).
  • H2H: 8 matches: Albacete 3W 2D 3L, goals 8–8.
  • Absences: Albacete 0, Eldense 0.

Who will win Albacete vs Eldense?

Albacete42%
Draw27%
Eldense31%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Albacete vs Eldense: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals77.1% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.27
Likely
Albacete or draw (1X)69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.42
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.3% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.47
Likely
Both sides to score: yes58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.4% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.20
Outsider
Albacete to win41.8% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.32
Outsider
Both sides to score: no41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.34
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.7% · fair odds 2.97 · best 3.00
Outsider
Eldense to win30.9% · fair odds 3.24 · best 3.24
Outsider
Draw27.3% · fair odds 3.66 · best 3.55
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.85 · Under 1.90
probability of over 50.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.63 · Under 2.19
probability of over 57.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.7%
2 : 19.0%
1 : 09.0%
1 : 27.6%
0 : 17.5%
2 : 06.9%

Albacete vs Eldense: who is missing

Albacete

  • No reported absences

Eldense

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Albacete vs Eldense: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Mallorca126-4-215:722
6Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
7Girona126-3-322:1121
8Burgos126-3-317:1321
9Oviedo125-3-417:1518
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Las Palmas125-2-517:2117
12Córdoba125-1-619:2216
13Valladolid124-3-520:1915
14Tenerife113-5-313:1514
15Eldense124-2-613:1714
16Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
17Leganés123-3-610:2012
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz122-4-615:1610
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Albacete

31 OctWAlbacete 2–1 Sabadell
25 OctWAlbacete 2–0 Eldense
17 OctLSporting Gijón 2–1 Albacete
12 OctLValladolid 5–0 Albacete
3 OctLAlbacete 1–3 Eibar

Eldense

1 NovLEldense 0–2 Granada CF
25 OctLAlbacete 2–0 Eldense
18 OctWValladolid 2–3 Eldense
10 OctWEldense 2–1 Córdoba
2 OctWEldense 4–1 Oviedo

Home and away

Albacete at home6 matches: 2W 0D 4L, goals 7–9
Eldense away6 matches: 2W 0D 4L, goals 4–9

Albacete vs Eldense: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Albacete are 21st with 7 points after 12 matches (2W 1D 9L), whereas Eldense are 15th with 14 points (4W 2D 6L).
  2. Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Albacete have 3 wins, Eldense have 3 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 8–8.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Here is a twist: the table suggests the Eldense are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 8; Albacete 3 wins, 2 draws, Eldense 3 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
  4. Absent: Albacete 0, Eldense 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Albacete are missing: no absences. Eldense are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Albacete vs Eldense: head to head

All matches
3Albacete
2Draws
3Eldense
25/10/26 · Albacete 2–0 Eldense
7/8/26 · Albacete 1–0 Eldense
23/2/25 · Albacete 0–1 Eldense
16/11/24 · Eldense 2–0 Albacete
21/4/24 · Eldense 0–1 Albacete
19/12/23 · Albacete 1–1 Eldense

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.0%

Albacete vs Eldense: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Albacete vs Eldense?

Our result tip is Albacete or draw (1X) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Albacete or draw (1X).

Who will win Albacete vs Eldense?

Our probabilities: Albacete to win 42%, a draw 27%, Eldense to win 31%.

What time and where is kick-off?

25 October 2026, kick-off at 15:15, at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete. Referee: D. Palencia.

Who will be missing?

Albacete: no absences. Eldense: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.20).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (9.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Castellón vs Eibar 6 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 NovLeganés vs Albacete 7 NovCórdoba vs AD Ceuta FC 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.