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Segunda División · Matchweek 12 · 31 October 2026 · 20:00

Albacete vs Sabadell: tip, odds and prediction – 31 October 2026, Segunda División

2–1
1Albacete2.40
XDraw3.15
2Sabadell3.54

Best available odds · Updated 31/10/26, 13:56

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Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Albacete meet Sabadell on 31 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete), refereed by A. Fuentes. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Albacete vs Sabadell: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Albacete or draw (1X)
1.38
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.70
71%chance of the result
57%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Albacete vs Sabadell: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Albacete are 21st with 7 points after 12 matches (2W 1D 9L), whereas Sabadell are 10th with 17 points (4W 5D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Albacete have scored 0.7 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Sabadell average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Albacete: 1W 1D 9L, goals 8–22; Sabadell: 4W 5D 2L, goals 11–9.
  4. Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Albacete have 2 wins, Sabadell have 1 win and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–3.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (13.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Here is a twist: the table suggests the Sabadell are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.

Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 5; Albacete 2 wins, 2 draws, Sabadell 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.8 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Albacete 8–22, Sabadell 11–9.
  4. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 43%.
  5. Absent: Albacete 0, Sabadell 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.86). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Albacete are missing: no absences. Sabadell are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Albacete vs Sabadell: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.403.153.54
Market average2.303.043.22
Lowest odds2.202.882.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.441.3967.3%
Over 2.5 goals2.342.2242.5%
Under 2.5 goals1.701.6457.5%
Over 3.5 goals4.504.0723.1%
BTTS – yes1.911.8849.3%
BTTS – no1.861.8350.7%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:56. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Albacete 1–1 Sabadell, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Albacete 21st (7 points), Sabadell 10th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Albacete 1W 1D 9L (8:22), Sabadell 4W 5D 2L (11:9).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Albacete 2W 2D 1L, goals 6–3.
  • Absences: Albacete 0, Sabadell 0.

Who will win Albacete vs Sabadell?

Albacete40%
Draw31%
Sabadell29%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Albacete vs Sabadell: more markets and betting tips

Under 3.5 goals76.9% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Albacete or draw (1X)71.0% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.38
Likely
Over 1.5 goals67.3% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 2.5 goals57.5% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.70
Possible
Both sides to score: no50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.86
Possible
Both sides to score: yes49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.91
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals42.5% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.34
Outsider
Albacete to win40.4% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.40
Outsider
Draw30.6% · fair odds 3.27 · best 3.15
Outsider
Sabadell to win29.0% · fair odds 3.45 · best 3.54
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals23.1% · fair odds 4.32 · best 4.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.97 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.5%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.58 · Under 2.30
probability of over 59.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 113.0%
1 : 012.4%
0 : 110.0%
0 : 09.5%
2 : 18.5%
2 : 08.1%

Albacete vs Sabadell: who is missing

Albacete

  • No reported absences

Sabadell

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Albacete vs Sabadell: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Mallorca126-4-215:722
6Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
7Girona126-3-322:1121
8Burgos126-3-317:1321
9Oviedo125-3-417:1518
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Las Palmas125-2-517:2117
12Córdoba125-1-619:2216
13Valladolid124-3-520:1915
14Tenerife113-5-313:1514
15Eldense124-2-613:1714
16Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
17Leganés123-3-610:2012
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz122-4-615:1610
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Albacete

31 OctWAlbacete 2–1 Sabadell
25 OctWAlbacete 2–0 Eldense
17 OctLSporting Gijón 2–1 Albacete
12 OctLValladolid 5–0 Albacete
3 OctLAlbacete 1–3 Eibar

Sabadell

31 OctLAlbacete 2–1 Sabadell
25 OctDSabadell 1–1 Tenerife
18 OctLBurgos 1–0 Sabadell
10 OctWAD Ceuta FC 1–2 Sabadell
4 OctDSabadell 0–0 FC Andorra

Home and away

Albacete at home6 matches: 2W 0D 4L, goals 7–9
Sabadell away7 matches: 1W 3D 3L, goals 4–7

Albacete vs Sabadell: team stats compared

AlbaceteSabadell
33%Form67%
50%Attack50%
25%Defence75%
50%Head to head50%
67%Goals33%
44.7%Overall55.3%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

AlbaceteWWLLL
SabadellLDLWD

Albacete vs Sabadell: head to head

All matches
2Albacete
2Draws
1Sabadell
31/10/26 · Albacete 2–1 Sabadell
3/4/22 · Sabadell 1–0 Albacete
16/2/22 · Albacete 1–1 Sabadell
26/2/21 · Sabadell 0–0 Albacete
17/10/20 · Albacete 3–0 Sabadell

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Albacete vs Sabadell: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Albacete vs Sabadell?

Our result tip is Albacete or draw (1X) (odds 1.38), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70). The safer pick is Albacete or draw (1X).

Who will win Albacete vs Sabadell?

Our probabilities: Albacete to win 40%, a draw 31%, Sabadell to win 29%.

What time and where is kick-off?

31 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete. Referee: A. Fuentes.

Who will be missing?

Albacete: no absences. Sabadell: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 43% (odds 2.34); under 2.5 goals is at 57% (odds 1.70).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.91).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (13.0%); after that come 1–0 (12.4%) and 0–1 (10.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Castellón vs Eibar 6 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 NovLeganés vs Albacete 7 NovCórdoba vs AD Ceuta FC 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.