Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Albacete meet Sabadell on 31 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete), refereed by A. Fuentes. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Albacete vs Sabadell: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Albacete are 21st with 7 points after 12 matches (2W 1D 9L), whereas Sabadell are 10th with 17 points (4W 5D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Albacete have scored 0.7 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Sabadell average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Albacete: 1W 1D 9L, goals 8–22; Sabadell: 4W 5D 2L, goals 11–9.
- Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Albacete have 2 wins, Sabadell have 1 win and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–3.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (13.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Sabadell are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 5; Albacete 2 wins, 2 draws, Sabadell 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Albacete 8–22, Sabadell 11–9.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 43%.
- Absent: Albacete 0, Sabadell 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.86). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Albacete are missing: no absences. Sabadell are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Albacete vs Sabadell: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.40 | 3.15 | 3.54 |
| Market average | 2.30 | 3.04 | 3.22 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 2.88 | 2.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.39 | 67.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.22 | 42.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.64 | 57.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.07 | 23.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.88 | 49.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.86 | 1.83 | 50.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:56. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Albacete 1–1 Sabadell, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Albacete 21st (7 points), Sabadell 10th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Albacete 1W 1D 9L (8:22), Sabadell 4W 5D 2L (11:9).
- H2H: 5 matches: Albacete 2W 2D 1L, goals 6–3.
- Absences: Albacete 0, Sabadell 0.
Who will win Albacete vs Sabadell?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Albacete vs Sabadell: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Albacete vs Sabadell: who is missing
Albacete
- No reported absences
Sabadell
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Albacete vs Sabadell: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 | |
| 8 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 | |
| 9 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 | |
| 15 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 | |
| 16 | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 | |
| 17 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 | |
| 19 | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 | |
| 20 | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 | |
| 21 | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 | |
| 22 | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Albacete
Home and away
Albacete vs Sabadell: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Albacete vs Sabadell: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Albacete vs Sabadell: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Albacete vs Sabadell?
Our result tip is Albacete or draw (1X) (odds 1.38), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70). The safer pick is Albacete or draw (1X).
Who will win Albacete vs Sabadell?
Our probabilities: Albacete to win 40%, a draw 31%, Sabadell to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete. Referee: A. Fuentes.
Who will be missing?
Albacete: no absences. Sabadell: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 43% (odds 2.34); under 2.5 goals is at 57% (odds 1.70).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.91).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (13.0%); after that come 1–0 (12.4%) and 0–1 (10.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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